Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 30 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $777,809.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader fading Atlanta

A proven, highly profitable serial cross-market trader sold $214K of Atlanta as the market moved sharply against the Braves, a notable directional signal though the equivalent Phillies entry has already repriced substantially.

  • This bettor is up $3.4M across 298 resolved bets, with a 64% win rate and 251 events traded.
  • They sold about $214K of Atlanta shares as the Braves’ price fell sharply, implying a Phillies position if read as a directional bet.
  • The equivalent Phillies entry was about 12¢, but the current price is 38¢, so the original entry is no longer available at that level.

$118,823 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable whale exits before Braves slide

A highly profitable, experienced trader sold a large closed Braves position before a sharp price decline, with a major volume spike corroborating the move, though the sales appear to be profit-taking rather than a fresh Phillies bet.

  • A trader up $3.56M sold about $226K of Braves shares before the market fell from roughly 89¢ to 62¢.
  • The move coincided with a 30× volume spike and a sharp price drop, making the exit notable.
  • This closed a position entered around 50¢, so it may reflect profit-taking rather than a new bearish bet on Atlanta.

$225,822 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial trader fading Atlanta

A proven, highly profitable serial cross-market trader sold $214K of Atlanta as the market moved sharply against the Braves, a notable directional signal though the equivalent Phillies entry has already repriced substantially.

  • This bettor is up $3.4M across 298 resolved bets, with a 64% win rate and 251 events traded.
  • They sold about $214K of Atlanta shares as the Braves’ price fell sharply, implying a Phillies position if read as a directional bet.
  • The equivalent Phillies entry was about 12¢, but the current price is 38¢, so the original entry is no longer available at that level.

$214,075 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 67%

10-wallet Phillies cluster with sharp bettors

A 10-wallet Phillies buying cluster totaling $51.3K includes several strongly profitable bettors and coincides with a sharp price rise, though a smaller Braves-buying cluster provides counterflow.

  • Ten wallets bought $51,346 of Phillies, alongside a 29-point one-day price rise.
  • Two participants have standout records: one wins 86% across 355 resolved bets and another wins 80% across 426.
  • A smaller five-wallet cluster put $13,999 on Atlanta, so the flow is not unanimous; the Phillies are now priced around 80¢.

$51,346 on Philadelphia Phillies

Profitable serial trader adds to Braves bet

A highly active, profitable trader with a 68% win rate is adding $24.7K to an existing Braves position at 49¢.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 1,013 resolved bets and is up $2.7M overall.
  • They added $24,671 to an existing Braves position at 49¢, showing increased conviction.
  • The market is liquid and near-even, so this is a substantial directional bet rather than a thin-market price move.

$15,000 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A profitable bettor with an 80% record is adding $13,088 to an existing Braves position and has a long-running cross-market track record.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 92 resolved bets and is up $68,857.
  • They added $13,088 to an existing Atlanta Braves position at 49¢.
  • The wallet has traded across 26 events and 30 markets, with an 80% win rate.

$12,250 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 80%

New whale adding to coordinated Braves bet

A repeat new-wallet bettor added nearly $77K to an existing Braves position as five wallets bought the outcome for $117.9K amid a 34.2x volume spike.

  • Five wallets bought the Braves for a combined $117,862, including nearly $77K from this bettor.
  • This 14-day-old wallet has flagged $418,566 across 22 bets and is adding to a $158,269 Braves position.
  • Trading surged to 34.2 times the historical average as the bettor entered around 49–50¢.

$76,979 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A profitable bettor with an 80% record is adding $13,088 to an existing Braves position and has a long-running cross-market track record.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 92 resolved bets and is up $68,857.
  • They added $13,088 to an existing Atlanta Braves position at 49¢.
  • The wallet has traded across 26 events and 30 markets, with an 80% win rate.

$13,088 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial trader adds to Braves bet

A highly active, profitable trader with a 68% win rate is adding $24.7K to an existing Braves position at 49¢.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 1,013 resolved bets and is up $2.7M overall.
  • They added $24,671 to an existing Braves position at 49¢, showing increased conviction.
  • The market is liquid and near-even, so this is a substantial directional bet rather than a thin-market price move.

$24,671 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 72%

84% winner adding to Phillies

A consistently profitable bettor with an 84% record and activity across 62 events is adding to an existing Phillies position at 52¢.

  • This bettor has won 42 of 50 resolved trades and is up $135,903 lifetime.
  • They are adding $2,080 to an existing Phillies position, bringing their investment to about $6,080.
  • The 52¢ entry is near the current market price, with Phillies odds recently up 3%.

$2,734 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8e92...15de — Atlanta Braves, $158,269 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x2c2a...267e — Atlanta Braves, $139,722 (80% win rate)
  3. 0x26b4...b8a9 — Atlanta Braves, $91,200 (72% win rate)
  4. 0xa2c9...2c23 — Atlanta Braves, $47,526 (83% win rate)
  5. 0xfe78...0319 — Atlanta Braves, $38,923 (64% win rate)
  6. 0x7a75...d288 — Atlanta Braves, $35,000 (94% win rate)
  7. 0x4337...8882 — Atlanta Braves, $22,222 (75% win rate)
  8. 0x7a88...41cc — Atlanta Braves, $20,000 (66% win rate)
  9. 0xd1ec...5d8e — Atlanta Braves, $11,251 (90% win rate)
  10. 0x9a8c...ba13 — Atlanta Braves, $4,164 (71% win rate)

Related Theses

Hanwha Life wins Games 2-4 and series

Covers 4 related markets

Bilibili reverse-sweeps Anyone’s Legend

Covers 3 related markets

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Marlins win, runs stay low

Covers 3 related markets

Yankees win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

T1 will sweep Hanwha Life

Covers 4 related markets

Brewers win in a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Dplus KIA wins comeback series

Covers 4 related markets

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves$777,809 tracked14 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Philadelphia Phillies
100¢
Atlanta Braves
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 30 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

PHI
4
88-74
Final
ATL
3
94-68
PHI -117ATL -103O/U 7Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Truist Park, Atlanta
Attendance
37,150

Notable Trades

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 20:45 UTC

$118,823 on Philadelphia Phillies at 12¢

12¢→100¢↑88¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 20:39 UTC

$225,822 on Philadelphia Phillies at 14¢

14¢→100¢↑86¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 20:37 UTC

$214,075 on Philadelphia Phillies at 12¢

12¢→100¢↑88¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 21:14 UTC

$51,346 on Philadelphia Phillies at 81¢

81¢→100¢↑19¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 19:18 UTC

$15,000 on Atlanta Braves at 49¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 18:28 UTC

$12,250 on Atlanta Braves at 49¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 18:16 UTC

$76,979 on Atlanta Braves at 50¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 17:09 UTC

$13,088 on Atlanta Braves at 49¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 15:56 UTC

$24,671 on Atlanta Braves at 49¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 15:44 UTC

$2,734 on Philadelphia Phillies at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 14:57 UTC

$9,000 on Philadelphia Phillies at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 13:43 UTC

$2,080 on Philadelphia Phillies at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 21:23 UTC

$6,794 on Atlanta Braves at 49¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

2026-09-30 00:00 UTC

$5,146 on Philadelphia Phillies at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Related Theses

Hanwha Life wins Games 2-4 and series
Wallet_0x8a868 trades 4 related markets
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Espo…LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Espo…LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Espo…
Bilibili reverse-sweeps Anyone’s Legend
Wallet_0x8a868 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone…
Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…
Marlins win, runs stay low
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…
Yankees win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Will there be a run scored in …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Tigers win a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…
T1 will sweep Hanwha Life
Wallet_0x8a868 trades 4 related markets
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…
Brewers win in a high-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…
Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (…
Dplus KIA wins comeback series
Wallet_0x8a868 trades 4 related markets
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (B…Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BN…LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - …