Part of: UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)
This UFC prediction market covers the lightweight prelim bout between Gauge Young and Stan Dorsainvil at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. The market resolves to the officially declared winner, or 50-50 if the fight is a draw, No Contest, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5; PolySpotter tracks $68,473 in smart money across two signals.
This market will resolve to "Gauge Young" if Gauge Young is officially declared the winner of the fight against Stan Dorsainvil at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Stan Dorsainvil" if Stan Dorsainvil is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,204.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor leads three-wallet Young cluster
A proven high-edge bettor is scaling into Gauge Young alongside two other wallets during an exceptional volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite mixed cluster quality.
- The leading bettor has won 92% of 25 resolved positions and is up $178,500, with this trade adding to a $22,950 Gauge Young position.
- Three wallets committed $18,335 to Gauge Young at 61¢, while market activity surged to more than 3,000 times its historical average.
- The signal is strongest from the 92%-winner; the other two wallets have weaker records, including one with substantial lifetime losses.
$18,335 on Gauge Young
Sharp bettor scales into Gauge Young
A highly profitable sharp bettor with an 89% win rate and $3.2M lifetime profit added $24,369 to Gauge Young during an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of 1,912 resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime.
- They added $24,369 to Gauge Young at 61¢, building on an existing $52,142 position.
- The three-trade burst was over 1,800 times the market's historical volume baseline.
$24,370 on Gauge Young | Wallet win rate: 89%
38-0 bettor adds to Stan position
A proven bettor with a 38-0 record and substantial existing exposure is adding $1,500 to Stan Dorsainvil at 40%.
- This bettor has won all 38 resolved positions, with a $34,454 profit and an average entry price of 50%.
- They are adding $1,500 to an existing $3,750 Stan Dorsainvil position at 40%, showing increased conviction.
- Stan is priced at 40%, while the bettor’s track record suggests this may be a meaningful value position.
$1,500 on Stan Dorsainvil | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x4bff...fc26 — Stan Dorsainvil, $274,278 (50% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Gauge Young, $82,173 (65% win rate)
- 0xd696...8a49 — Gauge Young, $52,142 (89% win rate)
- 0x2759...2b38 — Gauge Young, $43,001 (64% win rate)
- 0x56b9...79a2 — Gauge Young, $22,950 (92% win rate)
- 0x620b...2e9f — Gauge Young, $17,000
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Gauge Young, $15,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Gauge Young, $12,064 (60% win rate)
- 0x17b8...d5d1 — Stan Dorsainvil, $11,438 (80% win rate)
- 0xff80...9b4d — Stan Dorsainvil, $10,666 (51% win rate)
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