Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Top Esports and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Regional Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 4 against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 4 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $186,291.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scaling into Invictus
A highly profitable serial bettor is adding heavily to Invictus Gaming while 16 wallets and a major event-wide volume spike support the same direction.
- This bettor wins 87% of 175 resolved trades, with $3.6M in lifetime profit and a 41% average entry price.
- The wallet committed about $42,700 across three Invictus Gaming buys, adding to an existing $82,000 position.
- Sixteen wallets bought Invictus Gaming in the same window, while event activity surged up to 173.9 times its normal level.
$58,114 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 67%
Sharp bettor scaling into Top Esports
A highly profitable esports bettor added to Top Esports at 50¢ amid a 14-wallet, $76,478 one-sided buying surge and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of 123 trades and is up $326,145, with a 31-point edge over average implied odds.
- They added to an existing Top Esports position at 50¢, now worth 56%, signaling increased conviction.
- Fourteen wallets bought Top Esports for $76,478 during a 237x volume spike versus the 24-hour average.
$5,556 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 78%
Coordinated esports whale surge
A large, coordinated Top Esports push coincided with a 63x volume spike and sharp bettors with strong historical records, though the market has already moved to 100%.
- Fourteen wallets committed $86,226 to Top Esports during a 63x volume spike.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including 87% and 92% win rates with substantial profits.
- Top Esports rose roughly 54 percentage points and now trades at 100%, so the signal is compelling but no longer practically actionable.
$86,226 on Top Esports
Sharp bettors buying Invictus Gaming
Eleven wallets put $75,331 behind Invictus Gaming, including several highly profitable bettors with 78%-93% historical win rates, despite the position currently marking below entry.
- Eleven wallets committed $75,331 to Invictus Gaming, including bettors with 87%, 89%, and 93% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions.
- Several participants were adding to existing Invictus Gaming positions, showing increased conviction rather than a one-off trade.
- The position entered around 51%-54% while the market now prices Invictus at 44%, creating a meaningful contrarian setup but also clear downside risk.
$36,395 on Invictus Gaming
Top Holders
- 0x6842...20d0 — Invictus Gaming, $60,681 (69% win rate)
- 0xf485...03ae — Invictus Gaming, $30,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x8a65...9e1c — Invictus Gaming, $26,000
- 0x3308...f04b — Invictus Gaming, $23,741 (59% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Invictus Gaming, $20,000 (82% win rate)
- 0x88c3...bea3 — Invictus Gaming, $11,027 (92% win rate)
- 0xd3f1...7535 — Invictus Gaming, $10,650 (66% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — Invictus Gaming, $10,383 (71% win rate)
- 0xc1c7...f0a7 — Invictus Gaming, $10,000 (93% win rate)
- 0xfd96...e623 — Invictus Gaming, $10,000 (74% win rate)
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