Part of: Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $83,658.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

4-wallet linked spread cluster

A 4-wallet cluster, including linked wallets and profitable high-volume bettors, put $36.5k on the same NBA spread during a 69x pre-game volume spike.

  • Four wallets put $36.5k on the same side, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • The buying came about 33 minutes before tipoff during a 69x volume spike.
  • One large wallet in the cluster is up $3.8M lifetime, and another is up $202k.

$36,457 on Spurs

Profitable bettors on underdog spread

Three wallets, including two profitable high-volume sports traders, bought $13.3k of Timberwolves +10.5 into a pre-game volume spike.

  • Two active bettors with 57–60% records and over $290k combined profit are backing the same side.
  • Three wallets bought $13.3k of Timberwolves +10.5, including one $10.4k lead bet.
  • Entry at 52¢ implies they see Timberwolves covering as better than a coin flip.

$13,312 on Timberwolves

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a long cross-market history is buying Timberwolves against the spread, though the stake is modest in a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 60% of 1,168 resolved bets and is up about $274K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 137 events, suggesting an experienced sports bettor with repeatable process.
  • Entry at 52¢ on Timberwolves implies a near coin-flip price for avoiding an 11-point Spurs win.

$1,820 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable NBA cross-market bettor

A highly profitable high-volume bettor is building a cross-market thesis on the same NBA game, including buying Spurs -10.5 at 49¢.

  • This bettor is up $1.54M across nearly 4,900 resolved markets.
  • They have placed $29.5K across 3 markets tied to this same game.
  • Entry at 49¢ suggests they see value on Spurs covering -10.5.

$1,218 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 53%

98% winner backing Timberwolves

Strong sharp-bettor signal: this wallet has a 98% record over 51 resolved positions and is buying Timberwolves +10.5 at 52¢.

  • This bettor has won 50 of 51 resolved bets and is up $14.1K lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry was 54¢, so this is not just a favorite-betting record.
  • They are buying Timberwolves +10.5 at 52¢ in a liquid NBA spread market.

$1,040 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp trio backing underdog

Three profitable wallets are aligned on Timberwolves +10.5, including two sharp bettors with 92%+ records, though two trades are exits from prior Spurs positions rather than fully fresh buys.

  • Two bettors with 92% and 94% records are moving toward Timberwolves, with $26.7k combined profit history.
  • A newer wallet is 4-for-4 and up $3k, adding fresh Timberwolves exposure at 51¢.
  • The effective entry is about 52¢, implying a near-even bet with several sharp wallets on the same side.

$4,952 on Timberwolves

94% winner backs Spurs spread

Sharp NBA spread bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is buying Spurs -10.5 at roughly even money.

  • This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved trades and is up $17.4K lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry was 49¢, so this 50¢ Spurs buy matches their proven betting range.
  • Entry at 50¢ implies they see meaningful value on Spurs covering by 11+.

$2,000 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% winner buying Spurs

Sharp wallet with a 92% resolved win rate and strong profit is buying Spurs -10.5 at 50¢, though size is modest for this liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved bets and is up $9.5K lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry was 51¢, so this 50¢ Spurs buy fits their usual edge profile.
  • Entry at 50¢ implies a near-even price on Spurs covering by 11+ points.

$1,700 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 92%

New profitable NBA bettor

Emerging profitable new wallet is adding another NBA spread bet after going 4-for-4 with $3,007 profit, though the sample is still small.

  • This new wallet is 4-for-4 and up $3,007 in its first 20 days.
  • It has now been flagged 3 times, with $5,400 total in notable bets.
  • Bought Timberwolves at 51¢, slightly better than the current 52¢ market price.

$1,400 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 100%

93% winner backs Timberwolves

A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history placed a $19.8k bet on Timberwolves against the spread.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.65M lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 54 events, 67 markets, and $1.3M traded.
  • The $19.8k entry at 52¢ is over half of this market’s 24h volume.

$19,760 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6ac5...4b6e Outcome 94384754, $100,001 (44% win rate)
  2. 0x1e77...8c33 Outcome 94384754, $62,000 (96% win rate)
  3. 0x163e...dc5b Outcome 94384754, $38,000 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x8a6c...0b3f Outcome 94384754, $19,608 (49% win rate)
  5. 0x3450...6793 Outcome 94384754, $13,668 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x32f1...c96e Outcome 94384754, $11,804
  7. 0x39cf...f964 Outcome 94384754, $10,685 (88% win rate)
  8. 0xbe7e...6d00 Outcome 94384754, $10,646 (48% win rate)
  9. 0x1420...9daa Outcome 94384754, $8,662 (67% win rate)
  10. 0x0b30...8ea8 Outcome 94384754, $8,371

Related Theses

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Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

ResolvedTimberwolves vs. Spurs$83,658 tracked10 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 6 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MIN
49-33
Frost Bank Center
SAS
62-20
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -10.5O/U: 217.5ML: +330/-425
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

5d ago

$36,457 on Spurs at 50¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

5d ago

$13,312 on Timberwolves at 52¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

5d ago

$1,820 on Timberwolves at 52¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

6d ago

$1,218 on Spurs at 49¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

6d ago

$1,040 on Timberwolves at 52¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

6d ago

$4,952 on Timberwolves at 52¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

6d ago

$2,000 on Spurs at 50¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

6d ago

$1,700 on Spurs at 50¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

6d ago

$1,400 on Timberwolves at 51¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

6d ago

$19,760 on Timberwolves at 52¢

Related Theses