Part of: Portugal vs. Uzbekistan

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,774.

Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

91% winner late No bet

Sharp wallet with a 91% resolved-bet win rate bought No near match end and the market quickly moved from 90% to 98%.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades across 161 positions and is profitable overall.
They bought No at 90% shortly before resolution, and the market has already moved to 98%.
The market saw a 349x pre-event volume spike, adding support to the late No move.

$1,138 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

90% winner buying longshot draw

Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 90% record is buying the Portugal-Uzbekistan draw at 11¢ despite only a modest alert score.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $292K lifetime.
They are buying the draw at 11¢, a low-probability outcome with about 9x upside if it hits.
Their historical results beat average entry odds by about 20 percentage points.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

New whale on longshot draw

A 3-day-old repeat large bettor is taking a fresh $6.9k position on the draw at 11¢ after $82.9k in recent flagged bets, suggesting high-conviction new-wallet flow despite limited track record.

This wallet is less than 3 days old but has already made $82.9k in flagged large bets.
They bought the draw at 11¢, a longshot price that implies a roughly 9x payout if it hits.
The wallet is 3-for-3 on resolved bets so far, though the sample is still very small.

$6,930 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume serial trader bought No at 88¢ amid a large pre-event volume spike, though the trade size is modest relative to market liquidity.

This bettor has won 62% of 18,749 resolved bets and is up $3.6M lifetime.
They are a major repeat trader across 490 events with over $34M invested.
Market volume spiked 324x above its historical average before the match.

$5,177 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

Proven sports sharp buying No

Sharp high-volume sports bettor with a 77% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying No amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades across 7,530 bets and is up $452,598 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 113 events and a strong long-term record.
This market just saw a 324x pre-game volume spike, and the sharp wallet is backing No at 88¢.

$2,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume serial trader bought No at 88¢ amid a large pre-event volume spike, though the trade size is modest relative to market liquidity.

This bettor has won 62% of 18,749 resolved bets and is up $3.6M lifetime.
They are a major repeat trader across 490 events with over $34M invested.
Market volume spiked 324x above its historical average before the match.

$1,228 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

Proven sports bettor backs No

Surface due to a proven profitable bettor buying No on a soccer draw market despite only a modest signal score.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $2.3k lifetime.
They bought $2.3k of No at 88¢, backing Portugal vs. Uzbekistan not to end in a draw.
Their track record beats average market odds by 26 percentage points across 64 resolved bets.

$2,300 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 23663301, $1,017,912
0x16dc...adee — Outcome 24809423, $449,023
0x5b6e...f544 — Outcome 24809423, $212,500 (90% win rate)
0xf031...c80c — Outcome 24809423, $150,000 (91% win rate)
0x454e...62b9 — Outcome 24809423, $100,000
0x6c8c...6b71 — Outcome 24809423, $63,000 (100% win rate)
0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 24809423, $60,000 (88% win rate)
0xb60b...3f85 — Outcome 24809423, $48,566
0xb225...3d54 — Outcome 24809423, $45,000 (83% win rate)
0x7d96...443e — Outcome 24809423, $41,627

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

First half stays cagey

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

ResolvedPortugal vs. Uzbekistan$20,774 tracked7 signalsGamesSoccerSportsFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 23, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”

102¢

93¢

85¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction