Part of: Thunder vs. Suns

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,058.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Pro sports sharp flips sides

A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 71% win rate flipped from a closed Suns position into Thunder -10.5, signaling a fresh cross-market thesis despite only modest size on a liquid market.

  • This bettor has a 71% win rate over 4,206 resolved trades and is up $2.6M lifetime
  • They already closed a $9.6k Suns position, so this Thunder buy at 74¢ looks like a fresh view rather than routine trading
  • They trade heavily across related markets — 1,038 markets across 446 events — which suggests a repeatable sports betting edge

$1,934 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 70%

97% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 97% win rate and $1.24M profit just took a sizable fresh position on Thunder -10.5 amid a pregame volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 97% of their trades and is up $1.24M across 150 resolved positions.
  • They've traded 288 related markets across 276 events, which points to a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Thunder at 50¢ before the line dropped to 44¢, during a 21x pregame volume spike.

$4,924 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable new wallet reloads

A 4-day-old wallet with unusually strong early profits keeps betting big and just bought Thunder into a sharp volume spike after the price dropped.

  • This 4-day-old wallet has already made about $43k and has been flagged 10 times for large bets, showing unusually aggressive early conviction.
  • They bought Thunder at 46¢ right after a 60x volume spike and a 13.5-point price drop, suggesting they stepped in on weakness.
  • This is a nearly $5k bet from one wallet, but it stands out more for the trader’s early results than for market-moving size in a liquid NBA market.

$4,919 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 100%

74% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume cross-market sports bettor with a 74% win rate sold Thunder spread at 42¢ during a sharp pregame volume spike, which translates into a buyable Suns position around 58¢.

  • This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $212k across 289 settled markets.
  • The trade came during a 60x pregame volume spike as the spread market moved fast, suggesting a strong view rather than routine activity.
  • Selling Thunder at 42¢ is equivalent to buying Suns around 58¢ on this spread market.

$2,890 on Suns | Wallet win rate: 74%

84% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp bettor with an 84% win rate and $417k profit is taking the Suns side at 47¢, making this a worthwhile follow despite the market being liquid and the trade size modest.

  • This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up $417k across 423 resolved bets
  • They've made $91k of cross-market bets across 27 events, suggesting a repeatable sports trading edge
  • Bought Suns at 47¢, a price that implies they think the spread is mispriced

$2,141 on Suns | Wallet win rate: 84%

74% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume serial sports bettor with a 74% win rate and $212k profit is taking a fresh $3k position on Thunder despite the price now being better than their entry.

  • This bettor has won 213 of 289 resolved markets and is up $212k overall.
  • They have traded 611 markets across 556 events, which points to a repeatable betting process rather than a one-off punt.
  • They bought Thunder at 65¢, and the market has since moved to 59¢, giving a better follow price than the original entry.

$2,968 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 74%

Sharp cluster buying Suns

Three wallets piled into Suns in the same window, including two highly profitable high-volume bettors, and the market moved from 49-50% to 55% on a major pre-game volume surge.

  • Two proven bettors in this cluster have strong records, including one up $6.4M with a 72% hit rate.
  • Three wallets bought Suns within minutes at 49-50¢, and the market has already moved to 55¢.
  • This came during a 13.3x pre-game volume spike, showing coordinated conviction before tipoff.

$8,696 on Suns

74% win-rate bettor

A proven high-volume sports-style bettor with a 74% win rate bought Thunder -10.5 into a live volume surge, making this a credible sharp signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor has won 213 of 289 resolved bets and is up about $212k overall
  • They trade heavily across related markets — 609 markets across 555 events for $6.5M total volume
  • Bought Thunder at 50¢ during a 13.3x volume spike, and the market now offers a slightly better 46¢ entry

$2,955 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 74%

Sharp-led Thunder cluster

Four wallets piled into Thunder -10.5 at 50¢ during a massive pregame volume spike, led by one highly profitable bettor who had just exited the other side.

  • One proven bettor in this group wins 71% of 4,197 resolved trades and is up $2.6M lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought Thunder -10.5 at 50¢ for nearly $11.8k total as market activity ran 105x above normal.
  • The best wallet had just closed a Suns position before buying Thunder, and the line is now 57¢.

$11,798 on Thunder

99% win-rate NBA bettor

A bettor with an extraordinary 99% win rate and $334k profit is making a fresh $4.9k buy on Thunder, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades (73 of 74) and is up about $334k
  • They have placed $715k across 115 events, so this looks like a proven repeat edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Thunder at 52¢, a near-even price that leaves room if their read is right

$4,928 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x333d...134e Outcome 93454225, $21,138 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 93454225, $10,961 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x3625...1187 Outcome 93454225, $9,921 (98% win rate)
  4. 0x2734...6d9e Outcome 93454225, $9,477 (99% win rate)
  5. 0x479e...91c3 Outcome 93454225, $6,983 (79% win rate)
  6. 0xf405...9df2 Outcome 93454225, $5,460 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x24b3...a5a4 Outcome 93454225, $4,738 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x8bb0...ca79 Outcome 93454225, $3,864 (44% win rate)
  9. 0x2aa2...a548 Outcome 93454225, $3,392
  10. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 93454225, $3,321 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

ResolvedThunder vs. Suns$57,058 tracked13 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 27 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

OKC
64-18
Mortgage Matchup Center
PHX
45-37
Draft Kings
Spread: OKC -11.5O/U: 215.5ML: -535/+400
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

22d ago

$1,934 on Thunder at 74¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

22d ago

$4,924 on Thunder at 50¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

22d ago

$4,919 on Thunder at 46¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

22d ago

$2,890 on Suns at 58¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

22d ago

$2,141 on Suns at 47¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

22d ago

$2,968 on Thunder at 65¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

22d ago

$8,696 on Suns at 49¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

22d ago

$2,955 on Thunder at 50¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

22d ago

$11,798 on Thunder at 50¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

22d ago

$4,928 on Thunder at 52¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

22d ago

$1,972 on Thunder at 54¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

22d ago

$5,700 on Thunder at 55¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

23d ago

$1,233 on Suns at 48¢

Related Theses