Part of: Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,030.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
95% winner backs Over
Sharp MLB bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and +$20k P&L is effectively backing Over 10.5 by selling Under.
- This bettor has won 20 of 21 resolved positions and is up $20,253 lifetime.
- Selling Under at 55¢ is effectively a buy on Over at 45¢.
- Their past wins came at much lower implied odds than their actual hit rate, suggesting a real betting edge.
$1,157 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%
New wallet repeat bettor
A 2-hour-old repeat large bettor with early profit is taking a meaningful Over position on a relatively thin MLB total, though the price has moved against them.
- This wallet is only 2 hours old but has already had 12 flagged large bets totaling $23.4K.
- Early results are positive: the wallet is up about $7K on 2 resolved bets so far.
- This Over bet was placed at 36¢ in a market with only $1.8K liquidity, though the price has since dropped to 28¢.
$1,291 on Over | Wallet win rate: 50%
Fresh profitable sports whale
Very new wallet has rapidly placed 11 sizable flagged bets with early profit, though this Over position has already moved against its 48¢ entry.
- This wallet is only about 2 hours old but has already made 11 flagged bets totaling about $22K.
- Early results are positive: up nearly $7K on about $23K invested, though only 2 bets have resolved.
- This Over bet entered at 48¢ and is now around 32¢, offering a cheaper follow if the bettor’s read is right.
$1,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 50%
New whale buying Over
A brand-new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets, is already profitable on early resolved positions, and is taking a $3.5k Over position amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This wallet is under 2 hours old but has already had 10 large-bet flags totaling about $20k.
- It is up about $7k so far, though on only 2 resolved bets.
- They bought Over at 47–48¢, and the market is now cheaper around 44¢.
$3,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 50%
95% winner buying Under
A highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet bought $4.3k of Under amid a major pre-game volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor has won 20 of 21 resolved bets and is up about $20k lifetime.
- They put $4.3k on Under at 55¢, a meaningful position in a $43k-volume MLB total.
- Market activity spiked 190x above its normal pace, supporting the idea that sharp money is moving in.
$4,279 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%
Serial sports bettor sizing up
A heavily active serial sports bettor placed a $10.3k Under bet that was more than double the market's 24h volume, though the wallet's lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor has traded across 68 events and wins 73% of resolved bets.
- The $10.3k Under bet is about 2.4x this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 48¢ implies they are taking the less-favored side before the game.
$10,302 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Experienced cross-market bettor with a large profitable history is buying Over 10.5 at 52¢ despite only a modest single-trade signal.
- This bettor is up about $890K across 199 resolved markets.
- They have traded 155 markets across 110 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- Entry at 52¢ implies they see Over 10.5 as slightly better than a coin flip.
$1,001 on Over | Wallet win rate: 48%
Top Holders
- 0x1e77...8c33 — Outcome 10882955, $23,463 (80% win rate)
- 0x5c05...8cd5 — Outcome 10882955, $1,730 (100% win rate)
- 0x0249...5b4b — Outcome 10882955, $1,200 (89% win rate)
- 0xebe6...9278 — Outcome 10882955, $800 (69% win rate)
- 0xd1c5...3d6f — Outcome 10882955, $374 (93% win rate)
- 0xe4fa...3262 — Outcome 10882955, $135
- 0x085b...ab9f — Outcome 10882955, $135 (88% win rate)
- 0xc45a...1565 — Outcome 10882955, $113 (97% win rate)
- 0x6cb1...1002 — Outcome 10882955, $64
- 0x26a7...4fba — Outcome 10882955, $54
Related Theses
Timberwolves upset in shootout
Covers 4 related markets
