Part of: Operário Ferroviário EC vs. São Bernardo FC
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,541.
Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports
Notable Trades
Three-wallet No cluster
A three-wallet bearish cluster generated a major volume spike and moved No sharply higher, though the evidence is weakened by existing positions and limited proven edge.
- Three wallets committed about $19,000 to No, including a $7,319 Yes sale equivalent to buying No.
- Trading volume surged to roughly 918 times its recent average while No moved about 17 percentage points higher.
- The wallets have substantial histories, but their win rates do not clearly exceed their typical entry prices, so conviction is stronger than the demonstrated edge.
$19,023 on No
Extreme pre-event volume surge
A sharp price rise accompanied an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the individual bettor's broad track record offers limited evidence of a specific edge.
- Trading activity was 918 times the recent average, with nine trades driving nearly all of the $72,627 in 24-hour volume.
- Yes has risen 30 percentage points in one day, while this wallet bought at 53¢ in the direction of the move.
- The wallet has a large 76,464-bet history and is profitable overall, but its 55% win rate is not especially strong evidence of an edge here.
$1,187 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%
Serial bettor makes contrarian No bet
A large, highly unusual No position created a massive volume spike in a relatively quiet sports market, though the trader lacks a clearly superior win-rate edge and the market has since moved against them.
- This bettor placed $5,143 on No, accounting for roughly 71% of the flagged 24-hour volume.
- The trade triggered a reported 9,330x volume spike and was followed by a major market repricing.
- The wallet has 1,171 resolved bets and $365,441 in lifetime profit, but its 66% win rate is not clearly above its typical 73¢ winning entry price.
$5,143 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
91% winner scaling into Yes
A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and $525,000 in P&L is adding to a large Yes position in a thin market after a sharp price rise.
- This bettor has won 91% of 546 resolved positions and is up $525,041 lifetime.
- The trade adds $2,189 to an existing $9,324 Yes position, signaling continued conviction.
- The bet exceeds the market’s entire recent 24-hour volume, while Yes has risen 27% over one day.
$2,189 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 72455351, $11,925 (62% win rate)
- 0x4348...f08a — Outcome 72455351, $1,482
- 0x57f6...ba20 — Outcome 72455351, $1,326 (99% win rate)
- 0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 72455351, $1,125
- 0x5a11...9bec — Outcome 72455351, $958
- 0xcb77...fbee — Outcome 72455351, $175
- 0xd75a...d264 — Outcome 72455351, $138 (91% win rate)
- 0xddb6...b9b3 — Outcome 72455351, $96 (87% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 72455351, $90
- 0x5fe0...cc67 — Outcome 72455351, $76
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