Part of: Operário Ferroviário EC vs. São Bernardo FC

Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,541.

Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports

Notable Trades

Three-wallet No cluster

A three-wallet bearish cluster generated a major volume spike and moved No sharply higher, though the evidence is weakened by existing positions and limited proven edge.

  • Three wallets committed about $19,000 to No, including a $7,319 Yes sale equivalent to buying No.
  • Trading volume surged to roughly 918 times its recent average while No moved about 17 percentage points higher.
  • The wallets have substantial histories, but their win rates do not clearly exceed their typical entry prices, so conviction is stronger than the demonstrated edge.

$19,023 on No

Extreme pre-event volume surge

A sharp price rise accompanied an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the individual bettor's broad track record offers limited evidence of a specific edge.

  • Trading activity was 918 times the recent average, with nine trades driving nearly all of the $72,627 in 24-hour volume.
  • Yes has risen 30 percentage points in one day, while this wallet bought at 53¢ in the direction of the move.
  • The wallet has a large 76,464-bet history and is profitable overall, but its 55% win rate is not especially strong evidence of an edge here.

$1,187 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

Serial bettor makes contrarian No bet

A large, highly unusual No position created a massive volume spike in a relatively quiet sports market, though the trader lacks a clearly superior win-rate edge and the market has since moved against them.

  • This bettor placed $5,143 on No, accounting for roughly 71% of the flagged 24-hour volume.
  • The trade triggered a reported 9,330x volume spike and was followed by a major market repricing.
  • The wallet has 1,171 resolved bets and $365,441 in lifetime profit, but its 66% win rate is not clearly above its typical 73¢ winning entry price.

$5,143 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

91% winner scaling into Yes

A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and $525,000 in P&L is adding to a large Yes position in a thin market after a sharp price rise.

  • This bettor has won 91% of 546 resolved positions and is up $525,041 lifetime.
  • The trade adds $2,189 to an existing $9,324 Yes position, signaling continued conviction.
  • The bet exceeds the market’s entire recent 24-hour volume, while Yes has risen 27% over one day.

$2,189 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdbdd...a5de Outcome 72455351, $11,925 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x4348...f08a Outcome 72455351, $1,482
  3. 0x57f6...ba20 Outcome 72455351, $1,326 (99% win rate)
  4. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 72455351, $1,125
  5. 0x5a11...9bec Outcome 72455351, $958
  6. 0xcb77...fbee Outcome 72455351, $175
  7. 0xd75a...d264 Outcome 72455351, $138 (91% win rate)
  8. 0xddb6...b9b3 Outcome 72455351, $96 (87% win rate)
  9. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 72455351, $90
  10. 0x5fe0...cc67 Outcome 72455351, $76

Related Theses

CA Huracán will not win

Covers 1 related market

Heidenheim will beat Köln

Covers 3 related markets

Orlando-San Luis will be high-scoring

Covers 1 related market

Manchester City beats Chelsea

Covers 3 related markets

Falcons win a long series

Covers 7 related markets

Algeria Austria stays low-scoring

Covers 6 related markets

Brazil and Morocco draw

Covers 3 related markets

Cruz Azul will not win

Covers 1 related market

Anderlecht will not win

Covers 1 related market

Twins win nine-run game

Covers 6 related markets

Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?

ResolvedOperário Ferroviário EC vs. São Bernardo FC$27,541 tracked4 signalsGamesSoccerSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 7, 2026 If São Bernardo FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?

34d ago

$19,023 on No at 47¢

Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?

34d ago

$1,187 on Yes at 53¢

Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?

34d ago

$5,143 on No at 72¢

Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?

34d ago

$2,189 on Yes at 53¢

Related Theses