Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on April 28?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,949.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

A repeat last-minute bettor with positive P&L made a contrarian $2.5k No buy 9 minutes before resolution and immediately caught a sharp 14-point move.

This wallet has a pattern of late bets near resolution across 4 markets and is up $5.6k overall.
They bought No for 58¢ just 9 minutes before expiry, and No is now 13¢ after a fast 14-point move.
The trade went against an 87% Yes market, showing clear conviction rather than routine flow.

$2,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable serial timer

A profitable serial timer bought Yes at 32¢ about 25 minutes before resolution on a high-volume BTC market, and the price quickly moved to 51%, suggesting strong short-term timing.

This wallet has a pattern of late bets near resolution and is up $14.9k overall.
They bought Yes at 32¢ just 24.5 minutes before settlement, and the market quickly jumped to 51¢.
A 16x volume spike and an 11-point price move suggest fast money piled in on the same move.

$2,052 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable serial timer flips Yes

A highly active, profitable serial timer flipped from a closed No position into a fresh $5.7k Yes bet 30 minutes before resolution, a pattern that suggests a real-time edge worth watching despite the modest historical edge.

This wallet has 1,367 resolved bets and is up $268.8k overall, with 43 near-resolution bets across 19 markets.
The trader opened a fresh $5.7k Yes position about 30 minutes before expiry after previously closing a No position on this market.
They paid 46¢ while the market now sits at 36¢, so the trade has moved against them even though last-minute timing is this wallet’s standout pattern.

$5,691 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial timer flips Yes

A highly active, profitable serial timer flipped into a fresh Yes position about an hour before resolution after closing an earlier No, signaling a deliberate late directional view.

This wallet has made 42 near-resolution bets across 19 markets and is up $268.8k overall.
They bought Yes at 50¢ about 60 minutes before resolution after closing an earlier No position, showing a fresh late read rather than routine holding.
The market dropped 37 points in the last day, so buying into the rebound at 50¢ suggests they see the current price as mispriced.

$5,881 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Sharp bettor bought dip

A profitable bettor with an 80% win rate and strong edge bought Yes at 64¢, a sharp entry now marked up to 70%.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $195k overall
They bought Yes at 64¢ and the market is already up to 70¢
The trade came after a 17.5-point one-day drop, suggesting they bought into a sharp pullback

$4,070 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable new wallet buying Yes

A very new wallet with early profits is making another sizable directional bet, but the signal is mostly about the wallet rather than this liquid Bitcoin market.

This new wallet has already been flagged twice, holds 5 positions, and is up about $2,030 early on.
The trade is effectively a BUY on Yes at 80¢ after selling No, showing a clear directional view.
The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a bettor worth tracking than a market-specific edge.

$2,755 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%