Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe
This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Jaime Faria and Frances Tiafoe, scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 6, 2026 if the match is delayed; PolySpotter is tracking $25,135 in smart money across 5 signals, including sharp interest on Faria as the underdog.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Frances Tiafoe in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
26 smart money signals detected, totaling $181,409.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
91% winner leads Faria cluster
Surface: a highly profitable 91% winner led coordinated buying on Jaime Faria during a major volume spike and 22-point price move.
- A bettor who wins 91% of resolved positions and is up $1.96M bought Jaime Faria at 47¢.
- Three wallets backed the same side with $11.4k as Faria jumped 22 points to 60¢.
- The market saw a 16x volume spike, suggesting this was more than routine tennis action.
$11,443 on Jaime Faria
92% serial sports sharp
A highly proven 92% win-rate wallet bought Tiafoe, backed by serial cross-market success and same-side flow from other wallets despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $141k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 588 events with more than $1.1M deployed.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $18.4k, though Tiafoe has since dropped from the 52¢ entry to about 40¢.
$1,300 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 92%
82% winner flips sides
Sharp 82% win-rate wallet with nearly $4M lifetime profit flipped from Faria into Tiafoe, with supporting one-sided flow from 4 wallets despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $3.95M lifetime.
- They closed a prior Faria position and bought Tiafoe at 52¢, signaling a clear side switch.
- Four wallets bought Tiafoe in the same window for $18.4K total, while the market now sits lower at 40¢.
$2,242 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 82%
95% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet bought Frances Tiafoe with sizable one-sided support and a pre-event volume spike, despite the price later moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 18 of 19 resolved trades and is up $230K lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $18K, showing coordinated conviction on Frances Tiafoe.
- The market saw a 16x volume spike before the event, suggesting unusual positioning around this match.
$6,860 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 95%
91% winner backing Faria
Elite profitable tennis bettor bought Jaime Faria at 47¢ alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They bought Jaime Faria at 47¢, and the market has already moved to 52¢.
- Three wallets are backing the same side, with a 40x pre-event volume spike.
$3,290 on Jaime Faria | Wallet win rate: 91%
91% winner backing Faria
Elite 91% win-rate wallet with nearly $2M lifetime profit bought Jaime Faria alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up nearly $2.0M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 133 events with the same 91% win rate.
- Six wallets bought Jaime Faria in the same window, totaling about $22.9K.
$2,842 on Jaime Faria | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp bettor joins Faria cluster
Sharp bettor with a 77% record and positive P&L bought Jaime Faria alongside one-sided cluster flow and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 77% of 133 resolved bets and is up $18.4K lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $12.1K on Jaime Faria.
- Market volume spiked 15x and Faria’s price is up 25 points in the past day.
$2,000 on Jaime Faria | Wallet win rate: 77%
77% winning sports sharp
A highly proven wallet with a 77% win rate and $453k lifetime profit is buying Frances Tiafoe at 36¢ despite the market favoring Faria.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $453k lifetime.
- They have traded across 109 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports edge.
- Entry at 36¢ implies they see Tiafoe as underpriced against the current favorite.
$1,284 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial sports trader
A high-volume, profitable serial sports bettor bought Tiafoe amid a 15x pre-event volume spike, though the market has since moved below their entry.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 31,151 resolved bets, 69% wins, and $268K lifetime profit.
- They bought $2.2K of Tiafoe at 61¢ after closing a small opposing Faria position.
- Market activity is elevated, with volume running 15x above its usual pace before the match.
$2,155 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable bettor joins linked cluster
Strong copy-trade candidate: a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a linked 4-wallet one-sided move into Frances Tiafoe amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up about $8.0M lifetime across 1,319 resolved bets.
- Four wallets are all buying the same side, with $15.1K total behind Frances Tiafoe.
- Market volume is running 24x above normal, suggesting broader pre-match positioning.
$4,802 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0xf284...b9f9 — Jaime Faria, $125,105 (91% win rate)
- 0x5966...f804 — Jaime Faria, $88,867 (92% win rate)
- 0xac0a...f89e — Frances Tiafoe, $74,876 (74% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Jaime Faria, $59,786 (98% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Frances Tiafoe, $42,949 (54% win rate)
- 0xde9f...d43c — Jaime Faria, $38,630 (50% win rate)
- 0x594d...059d — Jaime Faria, $36,780 (91% win rate)
- 0x42c9...9623 — Jaime Faria, $32,559 (50% win rate)
- 0xa080...234f — Jaime Faria, $28,671 (46% win rate)
- 0x28a7...0792 — Frances Tiafoe, $26,728 (69% win rate)
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