Part of: Norway vs. England - Player Props

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $83,171.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp whale adds No

Strong No-side soccer prop move led by a highly profitable 89% win-rate whale and reinforced by concentrated one-sided flow, volume spike, and existing position adds.

  • A bettor with an 89% win rate and $2.7M profit led the move with a $42.9K No buy.
  • Three wallets put $54.4K on No, pushing the price from the low 50s/60¢ range to about 70¢.
  • The lead wallet was already heavily positioned No and added more, signaling increased conviction.

$54,370 on No

Sharp serial sports bettor

Proven sharp sports wallet with 86% win rate and $330k profit bought No on Haaland scoring at 53¢, supported by a long cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $330,913 lifetime.
  • They have a broad track record across 31 events and 35 markets, not just one lucky run.
  • Entry at 53¢ on No is close to the current market price, so the copy window is still realistic.

$1,060 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Serial sharp adding Yes

Proven profitable cross-market trader with an 82% resolved win rate is adding to an existing Yes position at 48¢.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $100K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 77 events and $713K tracked volume.
  • This is an add-on bet, bringing more exposure to the same Yes position around 48¢.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp bettor adding before kickoff

A profitable sports bettor is adding to an existing Yes position while this Haaland goal market is seeing an unusually large pre-event volume surge.

  • This bettor has won 13 of 16 resolved trades and is up about $1.2K lifetime.
  • They are adding to a Yes position with roughly $5.5K total exposure at 47¢.
  • Market volume has surged heavily before the match, with Yes ticking up 3 points today.

$1,334 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

84% winner backing Yes

Proven profitable cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate is buying Haaland to score at 47¢ despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $194K lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 29 events and $128K deployed in related-event trades.
  • Entry at 47¢ implies they see Haaland scoring as better than a coin flip.

$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Three-wallet pre-game push

Three wallets are adding nearly $19.3k to Yes amid a large pre-event volume spike, including one bettor with a 17-0 resolved record.

  • Three wallets added $19.3k on the same side before the match.
  • One of the buyers is 17-for-17 on resolved bets and up $73k lifetime.
  • All three already held Yes positions and are adding more, showing increased conviction.

$19,306 on Yes

89% winner adding to NO

Strong sharp-bettor signal: this wallet has an 89% resolved win rate at much lower average odds and is adding to an existing No position on Haaland scoring.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $91,838 lifetime.
  • They are adding to an existing No position, now with $5,358 invested at 56¢.
  • This wallet has traded across 29 events with the same strong 89% hit rate.

$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0x20bc...a3a7 Outcome 81372355, $171,669 (49% win rate)
  2. 0xfc0c...cfc9 Outcome 81372355, $81,699 (66% win rate)
  3. 0x0d18...24a6 Outcome 81372355, $50,000 (11% win rate)
  4. 0xf689...9d83 Outcome 81372355, $47,605 (95% win rate)
  5. 0x00c8...9ccd Outcome 81372355, $45,568 (76% win rate)
  6. 0x9f03...766d Outcome 81372355, $26,596 (79% win rate)
  7. 0x85bb...9ada Outcome 81372355, $20,000 (87% win rate)
  8. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 81372355, $11,909 (79% win rate)
  9. 0xe39b...67e6 Outcome 81372355, $11,099
  10. 0x15a6...bf5d Outcome 81372355, $10,000 (47% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Korea Republic wins June 24

Covers 1 related market

FURIA wins first two maps

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs Knicks stay under

Covers 1 related market

Monte beats paiN

Covers 1 related market

England win by multiple goals

Covers 1 related market

Argentina wins on July 11

Covers 1 related market

Haaland scores at least once

Covers 1 related market

Netherlands Sweden stays low scoring

Covers 1 related market

Bilibili starts, Top rebounds

Covers 2 related markets

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

ResolvedNorway vs. England - Player Props$83,171 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and England, scheduled for July 11 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Erling Haaland records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

7d ago

$54,370 on No at 59¢

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

7d ago

$1,060 on No at 53¢

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

7d ago

$3,000 on Yes at 48¢

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

7d ago

$1,334 on Yes at 47¢

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

7d ago

$1,100 on Yes at 47¢

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

7d ago

$19,306 on Yes at 46¢

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

8d ago

$3,000 on No at 56¢

Related Theses