What is the Bitcoin above $78,000 on May 22 prediction market?

This market lets traders predict whether Bitcoin will close above $78,000 at exactly 12:00 PM ET on May 22, using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data.

How does this Polymarket market resolve?

It resolves to Yes if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 PM ET on May 22 has a final close price higher than $78,000. If the close is $78,000 or lower, it resolves to No.

What price source is used for settlement?

The resolution source is Binance BTC/USDT, specifically the 1-minute candle close price shown on Binance with the Candles and 1m settings selected.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter is tracking $2,954 in smart money exposure and 1 signal on this market, including alerts tied to profitable and repeat crypto bettors.

Why do traders watch Bitcoin price prediction markets like this?

These markets provide a real-time view of crowd expectations for a specific BTC price level and deadline, which can help traders compare Polymarket odds with crypto market momentum.

Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 22?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?

This Polymarket market asks whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT price will be above $78,000 on May 22, based on the Binance 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves Yes if that candle’s final close is higher than $78,000; otherwise it resolves No. PolySpotter is tracking $2,954 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this BTC price prediction market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,813.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Profitable new BTC bettor

A repeat new wallet with early profits is re-entering Yes during a 25x volume spike, though the track record is still small.

This 25-day-old wallet is already up $2.1K on $10.3K invested, with 2 wins and no losses so far.
It has now been flagged 3 times for larger bets, totaling $8.2K in notable positions.
The market is seeing a 25x volume spike, and this wallet is buying Yes at 30¢.

$2,954 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Repeat new crypto bettor

A repeat new wallet with early profits made a $3.3k bearish BTC bet amid a 19x volume spike before tomorrow's resolution.

A 26-day-old wallet is making its second flagged large bet, backing No with $3.3k.
The wallet is up $847 on 2 resolved bets, so the track record is early but positive.
Market volume is running 19x above its usual pace ahead of tomorrow’s BTC close.

$3,259 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable BTC cross-market bettor

A highly active, lifetime-profitable wallet is making a $7.6k equivalent BUY Yes as part of a $20.6k cross-market Bitcoin thesis, though the signal is moderate rather than exceptional.

This wallet is up $814k lifetime across more than $35M traded.
The trade is part of a $20.6k position across two related Bitcoin markets.
Selling No at 76¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 24¢, below the current 26¢ odds.

$7,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%