Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 22?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,217.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Three-wallet No surge
Coordinated No-side flow moved the market materially, backed by a repeat large bettor and a high-profit wallet, though part of the signal was a wallet closing a prior Yes position.
- Three wallets put $19.4k behind No, and the market moved from about 60¢ average entry to 70¢.
- The largest No buyer added three times as the price rose and has $815k in lifetime profit on Polymarket.
- A repeat new-wallet large-bet signal is involved, with $12.1k flagged across recent positions.
$19,404 on No
Profitable new BTC bettor
A repeat new wallet with early profits is re-entering Yes during a 25x volume spike, though the track record is still small.
- This 25-day-old wallet is already up $2.1K on $10.3K invested, with 2 wins and no losses so far.
- It has now been flagged 3 times for larger bets, totaling $8.2K in notable positions.
- The market is seeing a 25x volume spike, and this wallet is buying Yes at 30¢.
$2,954 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Repeat new crypto bettor
A repeat new wallet with early profits made a $3.3k bearish BTC bet amid a 19x volume spike before tomorrow's resolution.
- A 26-day-old wallet is making its second flagged large bet, backing No with $3.3k.
- The wallet is up $847 on 2 resolved bets, so the track record is early but positive.
- Market volume is running 19x above its usual pace ahead of tomorrow’s BTC close.
$3,259 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable BTC cross-market bettor
A highly active, lifetime-profitable wallet is making a $7.6k equivalent BUY Yes as part of a $20.6k cross-market Bitcoin thesis, though the signal is moderate rather than exceptional.
- This wallet is up $814k lifetime across more than $35M traded.
- The trade is part of a $20.6k position across two related Bitcoin markets.
- Selling No at 76¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 24¢, below the current 26¢ odds.
$7,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 51%
Top Holders
- 0xafe6...8192 — Outcome 83640808, $10,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x9b6b...9a8a — Outcome 83640808, $9,500
- 0xde6e...0169 — Outcome 83640808, $7,278 (57% win rate)
- 0xb911...7c31 — Outcome 83640808, $4,337 (16% win rate)
- 0x55be...dca3 — Outcome 83640808, $3,862 (56% win rate)
- 0x8a74...ae2b — Outcome 83640808, $2,650
- 0x9704...e11b — Outcome 83640808, $2,104 (100% win rate)
- 0x19fc...b4e3 — Outcome 83640808, $2,097 (62% win rate)
- 0xf61f...3ce1 — Outcome 83640808, $1,946
- 0xced4...5055 — Outcome 83640808, $1,833
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