Part of: New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-04?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $108,179.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, MLS
Notable Trades
81% win-rate sports trader
A proven 81% win-rate trader with activity across hundreds of events sold Yes at 69¢, which translates to a buyable No position at 31¢ on a liquid market that has already moved sharply.
- This bettor wins 81% of 1,217 resolved trades and has a long record across 607 events.
- They sold Yes at 69¢, which is equivalent to buying No around 31¢.
- The market already jumped 22.5 points in a day, so this trader is fading a strong move rather than chasing it.
$1,746 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable serial live timer
A highly profitable serial last-minute live sports trader put nearly $17k into Yes seconds before resolution, a repeat pattern that suggests a real-time edge despite only modest raw win rate.
- This wallet has made 43 near-resolution bets across 8 markets and is up $4.45M overall
- All 7 buys came in the final 4 minutes, including one just 18 seconds before resolution
- The bettor kept buying Yes around 51¢, showing clear conviction at roughly even odds
$16,953 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
84-0 soccer sharp
A bettor with an exceptional 84-for-84 record bought Yes at 50¢ in a liquid even-money soccer market, making this a strong follow signal despite only one trade.
- This bettor has won 84 of 84 resolved trades and is up nearly $17.9k
- They bought at 50¢, so they only need New York Red Bulls to win more than half the time for value
- The bet is meaningful at $2.1k, though this is a liquid market with no unusual price spike
$2,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% win-rate bettor
A bettor with a 91% win rate and strong edge bought Yes at 50¢, making this a credible sharp signal despite the modest size in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up about $87.9k on $207k invested
- Their history is strong at roughly 49¢ average odds, so buying at 50¢ fits a proven edge
- Entry is simple at 50¢ in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Linked serial timers pile in
Three coordinated wallets, including a highly active serial last-minute bettor with strong realized profits, piled $83k into Yes within seconds of resolution on a live sports market.
- Three wallets bet the same side for $83k total, and two are linked by the same funder.
- Most of the size came in during the final minutes before resolution, including a bettor with 38 near-resolution bets and $4.45M realized profit.
- They bought around 50-52¢ while the market now sits near 52¢, showing a concentrated live-game view rather than routine whale flow.
$83,128 on Yes
84-0 sharp bettor
A bettor with a perfect 84-for-84 resolved record and strong edge just opened a fresh position on Red Bulls at roughly even odds, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size.
- This bettor has won 84 of 84 resolved trades and is up $17.9k overall
- They bought at 51¢, so they appear to see Red Bulls as better than a coin flip
- The bet size is modest at $1.45k, but the track record is strong enough to make it notable
$1,452 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% win-rate bettor
A bettor with a rare 91% win rate and strong edge is taking a fresh position on a near-even sports market at 48¢, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades, with $87.9k profit across 35 bets.
- They bought at 48¢ in a near-even market, suggesting they see New York Red Bulls as better than a coin flip.
- The bet size is modest at $1.3k, but the track record is strong enough to make the signal worth following.
$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x9158...fa7b — Outcome 82423507, $103,000 (95% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 82423507, $21,158 (65% win rate)
- 0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 82423507, $2,021 (73% win rate)
- 0xe911...3d4e — Outcome 82423507, $1,436 (69% win rate)
- 0x6814...a9e7 — Outcome 82423507, $1,235 (56% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 82423507, $898
- 0xa6be...b977 — Outcome 82423507, $510 (82% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 82423507, $500 (89% win rate)
- 0x781c...db68 — Outcome 82423507, $251
- 0x2652...2a1d — Outcome 82423507, $201
