Part of: Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,534.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL
Notable Trades
Profitable new whale on favorite
A 22-day-old wallet with repeat large bets, early profits, and a perfect 5-for-5 record just put nearly $10k into Manchester City amid a major pre-match volume surge.
- This 22-day-old wallet has already made 15 flagged big bets and is up $5.9k.
- They are 5 for 5 on resolved markets, which makes this another fresh high-conviction entry worth tracking.
- The bettor bought nearly $10k of Yes at 86¢ while market volume is running 65x above its usual pace.
$9,856 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
94% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 94% win rate sold Manchester City Yes at 85¢, which translates to a copyable BUY No around 15¢.
- This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up about $269k across roughly $999k invested.
- They trade across 156 related markets and events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- This sale at 85¢ translates to buying No near 15¢, showing they think the favorite is slightly overpriced.
$6,350 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
96% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 96% win rate bought Manchester City Yes at 86¢ during a major pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market already being liquid and heavily favored.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $258k across 49 settled positions.
- They have bet more than $1.1M across 90 events, which looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off play.
- They bought Yes at 86¢ during a 39.7x volume spike, suggesting strong confidence even at a high implied probability.
$4,969 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
75% win-rate sports bettor
A profitable high-volume sports trader with a 75% win rate is buying into a market seeing an unusually large pre-match volume spike, making this a decent signal despite the short-priced favorite.
- This bettor has won 243 of 326 resolved trades and is up $55.8k overall.
- They trade heavily across events with $203.9k flagged in 38 related markets, suggesting a repeatable process.
- This match is seeing a 45x volume spike, and they still bought Manchester City at 86¢ despite already rich odds.
$4,416 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
Linked serial timers buy No
Four wallets piled into No seconds before resolution, including a linked pair and a proven serial last-minute bettor with strong profits, making this coordinated live-sports fade worth surfacing despite the market's deep liquidity.
- Four wallets bought No within about a minute of resolution, putting $12k behind the same call.
- Two wallets are linked by the same funder, and the largest bettor has a pattern of last-second bets with $854k in profit.
- They bought No at 15¢ and the market is now 6¢, so the entry already looks meaningfully better than current price.
$12,040 on No
76% win-rate sports grinder
A high-volume serial sports trader with a 76% win rate across 912 resolved bets is backing a heavy favorite in a liquid match market, making this a decent follow despite the single-signal alert.
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades over 912 resolved markets and has bet across 395 events
- bullets like this trader matter more than the single alert signal because they show a long, proven record rather than a one-off punt
- They bought Yes at 86¢ on a very liquid market, signaling confidence in a strong favorite rather than chasing a thin line
$4,282 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
92% win-rate sports bettor
A bettor with a strong early track record and a 92% win rate is buying into a major sports market, making this worth watching despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $21.6k on $45.1k invested
- Their average winning entry is 60¢, so buying at 86¢ suggests they still see value even at favorite odds
- The bet is small versus this market's deep liquidity, which makes this more about trader quality than market impact
$1,284 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%
83% win-rate bettor
A proven profitable sports bettor with an 83% win rate and strong edge is backing Manchester City, making this a modest but credible follow signal despite the market being liquid and the stake size not being huge.
- This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up $46k across 110 resolved markets.
- Their results are strong for the prices they pay, with a 31% edge over implied odds.
- They bought Manchester City at 86¢ in a deep market, suggesting steady conviction rather than a random punt.
$1,337 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
94% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate made a fresh $13k buy on Manchester City in a liquid market, making this a credible copy-trade despite limited signal diversity.
- This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up about $269k overall
- They have placed over $1.0M across 154 markets, so this looks like a proven sharp account rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Manchester City at 87¢ with nearly $13k, a clear high-conviction add from a strong track-record wallet
$12,999 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x08e6...5448 — Outcome 62875629, $136,821 (72% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 62875629, $30,016 (63% win rate)
- 0xa8a5...122b — Outcome 62875629, $24,311 (68% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 62875629, $18,929 (64% win rate)
- 0xd776...ffeb — Outcome 62875629, $17,325 (90% win rate)
- 0x525e...0b73 — Outcome 62875629, $15,361
- 0xbe87...6fc0 — Outcome 62875629, $13,880 (87% win rate)
- 0x6185...2965 — Outcome 62875629, $13,396 (99% win rate)
- 0x8a92...6941 — Outcome 62875629, $9,973 (61% win rate)
- 0x203b...acd1 — Outcome 62875629, $5,311
Related Theses
Starmer exits in 2026
Covers 4 related markets
