Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
This prediction market tracks whether the official CME settlement price for active-month Crude Oil (CL) futures will be $60 or lower on any trading day through the final trading day of June 2026. It resolves on June 30, 2026, based on CME settlement prices, with PolySpotter tracking $6,765 in smart money and 3 smart money signals tied to this oil thesis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,744.
Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil
Notable Trades
Profitable oil thesis bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet is building a $91K cross-market oil-downside thesis across 8 related crude markets, though this individual add is modest and long-dated.
- This bettor is up $267K lifetime across $7.4M traded.
- They have built a $91K position across 8 related crude oil markets.
- Entry at 8¢ implies a high-upside bet that crude hits $60 before June 2026.
$1,257 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 42%
Profitable wallet across 8 oil markets
A profitable high-volume wallet is building a cross-market crude oil downside thesis, with $65k spread across 8 related markets despite this single leg being modest.
- This bettor is up $331k lifetime and has traded over $6.5M in resolved markets.
- They have $65k positioned across 8 related crude oil markets, suggesting a broader oil-downside thesis.
- Entry at 8¢ offers a high-upside bet if crude settles at or below $60 by end of June.
$1,008 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 42%
Repeat new wallet oil thesis
A repeat new wallet has already put over $42k into related crude-oil threshold markets and just added a sizeable No position in a very quiet contract, suggesting sustained conviction rather than a one-off bet.
- This 20-day-old wallet has been flagged 8 times already and has put about $42.7k into similar markets
- It is betting across 3 related crude-oil markets, which points to a broader directional thesis rather than a random trade
- The market only traded $325 in the last 24 hours, so a $4.5k buy is a large conviction bet into a quiet contract
$4,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
New whale pressing oil thesis
A 5-day-old wallet has repeatedly put nearly $38k across three related crude oil markets and just made another large, high-confidence buy on No, suggesting strong conviction on this event thesis.
- A 5-day-old wallet has already made 7 flagged bets totaling $38k across related crude oil markets
- This trade buys No at 90¢, a concentrated high-conviction bet that oil will not hit $60 by June
- The $9.0k order was nearly 3x this market's prior 24-hour volume, showing real size in a thinner market
$8,979 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xe734...4f0c — Yes, $163,921 (42% win rate)
- 0x993c...6787 — No, $36,000 (40% win rate)
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — No, $31,424 (78% win rate)
- 0x8b87...3e8d — No, $27,600 (100% win rate)
- 0x4755...4158 — No, $20,343
- 0x5f45...a77a — No, $14,519 (62% win rate)
- 0x777f...a1bb — Yes, $12,512 (78% win rate)
- 0x85d5...aece — No, $10,000 (77% win rate)
- 0xc97b...47e5 — No, $8,751 (64% win rate)
- 0xaab2...a999 — No, $7,050
Related Theses
Crude swings wildly by June
Covers 9 related markets
Oil crashes then spikes
Covers 14 related markets
