Part of: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $86,650.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

95% sharp backs underdog

A 95% win-rate, highly profitable wallet and a newly profitable whale both bought Team Spirit, though the price has since moved sharply against them.

  • The lead bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $348k lifetime.
  • A 1-day-old wallet already up $34k also put $4.5k on the same side.
  • Team Spirit has since dropped to 8¢, making this a high-risk but potentially discounted follow.

$11,374 on Team Spirit

Profitable serial trader cluster

A profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Aurora alongside one-sided clustered flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $120k lifetime across 352 resolved bets and has traded 107 events.
  • Four wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling $7.6k on one side.
  • Market volume spiked 28.5x before the match, and Aurora has already moved from 59¢ to 62¢.

$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 61%

94% winner backs Aurora

Elite 94% winning wallet with large lifetime profit is buying Aurora alongside one-sided clustered flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $470k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 164 events with the same 94% hit rate.
  • Three wallets are all buying Aurora, with a 65x pre-event volume spike behind the move.

$2,910 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%

91% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable 91% win-rate esports bettor bought Aurora alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $240,908 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 87 events with the same 91% win rate.
  • Three wallets bought Aurora together, while market volume spiked 65x before the match.

$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp cluster buying Team Spirit

Six wallets bought $23.7k of Team Spirit, led by multiple highly profitable esports bettors with 89-97% historical win rates and large positive P&L.

  • Three bettors in this cluster win 89-97% of their resolved bets and are up over $4.1M combined.
  • Six wallets bought $23.7k of Team Spirit, including one wallet up $3.59M lifetime.
  • Current odds near 38¢ are cheaper than the cluster’s roughly 49¢ average entry.

$23,674 on Team Spirit

82% winner on Aurora

Sharp esports bettor with an 82% record and strong lifetime profit is buying Aurora amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $125k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 54 events with the same 82% win record.
  • Aurora was bought at 47¢ during a 75x pre-event volume spike.

$1,691 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 81%

97% winner backs Team Spirit

Elite 97% win-rate wallet with $3.6M profit bought $18k of Team Spirit and moved the price sharply before the match.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.59M lifetime.
  • They put $18k on Team Spirit at 54¢, more than 2x the market’s recent 24h volume.
  • The buy came with a fast 20.5-point price move, suggesting strong momentum behind the bet.

$18,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 97%

97% sharp buying size

A highly profitable 97% win-rate wallet put $26k on Team Spirit, dwarfing this market's 24h volume and adding to a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.59M lifetime.
  • They bought $26k of Team Spirit, over 2x this market’s 24h volume.
  • This wallet has traded 324 related esports markets with the same 97% hit rate.

$26,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 39673769, $112,473 (97% win rate)
  2. 0x478a...8786 Outcome 39673769, $40,026
  3. 0x03f8...d85a Outcome 39673769, $23,251 (96% win rate)
  4. 0xc04e...75d9 Outcome 39673769, $9,321 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x507e...beae Outcome 67826629, $4,522 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xbbf3...aa3a Outcome 39673769, $4,464 (78% win rate)
  7. 0xf054...eae7 Outcome 39673769, $3,843 (66% win rate)
  8. 0x47bd...bc9d Outcome 39673769, $2,000 (67% win rate)
  9. 0xb517...434b Outcome 39673769, $1,925 (89% win rate)
  10. 0x93fd...a5ed Outcome 39673769, $1,581

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$86,650 tracked8 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Final match between Team Spirit and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Aurora
102¢
72¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

1d ago

$11,374 on Team Spirit at 38¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

1d ago

$1,500 on Aurora at 59¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

1d ago

$2,910 on Aurora at 46¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

1d ago

$1,500 on Aurora at 48¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

1d ago

$23,674 on Team Spirit at 49¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

1d ago

$1,691 on Aurora at 47¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

1d ago

$18,000 on Team Spirit at 54¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

1d ago

$26,000 on Team Spirit at 55¢

Related Theses