Part of: UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,393.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
6-wallet funded UFC cluster
A 6-wallet funded cluster put $27.8K on Colby Thicknesse ahead of a major odds move to 100%, with one highly profitable serial trader involved.
- Six funded wallets bought $27.8K of Colby Thicknesse within minutes.
- One involved bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $900K.
- Entries around 44–67¢ moved to 100%, so this looks more like a wallet group to track than a price to chase.
$27,795 on Colby Thicknesse
96% sharp buying Morales
High-conviction Vince Morales buy from a 96% winning sports bettor, reinforced by linked wallets and one-sided cluster flow despite the market now pricing Morales much lower.
- This bettor has won 25 of 26 resolved bets and is up about $263K lifetime.
- Six linked wallets share a funder, and three wallets have bought the same side for $10.5K total.
- The trader paid 52¢ for Vince Morales while the market now sits near 32¢, giving a much cheaper follow-on entry.
$3,025 on Vince Morales | Wallet win rate: 96%
Sharp linked UFC buy
A profitable UFC bettor with a 79% record joined a linked 3-wallet push into Vince Morales, though the price has since moved sharply against them.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $171K lifetime.
- Three wallets, including two with a shared funder, bought the same side for $10.5K total.
- They paid 57¢ for Vince Morales, but the market is now around 32¢ after a sharp move against them.
$2,673 on Vince Morales | Wallet win rate: 79%
Perfect 22-0 sports bettor
A proven sports bettor with a perfect 22-0 resolved record is buying Vince Morales at 47¢ in a liquid UFC market.
- This bettor has won 22 of 22 resolved positions and is up $28.6K lifetime.
- Their past wins averaged around 50¢ entries, suggesting a strong record finding mispriced coin-flip bets.
- They are buying Vince Morales at 47¢, implying they see him as undervalued versus the market.
$2,000 on Vince Morales | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable bettor buying underdog
Profitable sports bettor with an 82% resolved win rate made a meaningful $2.9k buy on a relatively quiet UFC prelim market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $48.5k lifetime.
- The $2.9k buy is a large position for a quiet UFC prelim market with only $9k total volume.
- Entry at 45¢ implies about a 2.2x payout if Morales wins.
$2,900 on Vince Morales | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 32319673, $62,963 (64% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 32319673, $25,681 (73% win rate)
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Outcome 32319673, $12,987 (89% win rate)
- 0x20a8...f004 — Outcome 32319673, $9,015 (79% win rate)
- 0xe7a2...ae70 — Outcome 32319673, $6,337 (53% win rate)
- 0xefdd...017f — Outcome 32319673, $6,049 (96% win rate)
- 0x87b6...4aba — Outcome 32319673, $5,500 (82% win rate)
- 0x05a7...42e6 — Outcome 32319673, $5,135 (100% win rate)
- 0xc33a...3da3 — Outcome 32319673, $4,500 (98% win rate)
- 0x9c1c...7980 — Outcome 32319673, $4,325 (65% win rate)
Related Theses
Volkov beats Cortes-Acosta
Covers 1 related market
