Part of: Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 9 at 3:00PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $131,663.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor joins 14-wallet push
High-conviction Cavaliers flow from a profitable 74% sports bettor plus a 14-wallet one-sided cluster, though the price has already moved sharply from 58% to 88%.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved bets and is up $312K lifetime.
- 14 wallets bought Cavaliers the same way, totaling $46.9K in one-sided flow.
- The trade entered at 58¢ and the market has already moved to 88¢.
$3,000 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 74%
15-wallet Cavaliers cluster
Strong one-sided Cavaliers flow from 15 wallets totaling $53.7k, with a repeat new profitable wallet buying before the price moved from 61¢ to 66¢.
- 15 wallets are all buying Cavaliers, totaling $53.7k in the same direction.
- This repeat new bettor is already up $7.8k with 5 wins in 7 resolved bets.
- They entered at 61¢ and the market has already moved to 66¢, suggesting the flow is being validated.
$1,978 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 71%
15-wallet Cavaliers cluster
Surface: a profitable 74% lifetime bettor joined a 15-wallet one-sided Cavaliers flow, though this specific trade also closed a prior Pistons position.
- 15 wallets are all betting Cavaliers, totaling $53.7K in the same direction.
- This wallet wins 74% of resolved bets and is up $312K lifetime.
- Selling Pistons at 40¢ converts to buying Cavaliers at 60¢, below the current 66¢ market price.
$4,251 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp in 15-wallet buy wave
A highly profitable 70% sports bettor joined a 15-wallet one-sided Cavaliers buy wave, with linked funding and price already moving from 63¢ to 66¢.
- This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $2.8M lifetime.
- 15 wallets bought the same side for $53.7K, with 3 wallets sharing a funder.
- Entry at 63¢ is already marked up to 66¢, suggesting the market is following the flow.
$7,515 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 70%
Linked bettors backing Pistons
Coordinated Pistons buying from 11 wallets, including profitable sports bettors, is worth surfacing despite the market being liquid and price currently below their entries.
- 11 wallets backed Pistons in the same window for about $37K total, including linked funding across part of the group.
- Several participating wallets have strong records, including one up $57K with 82% wins and another up $312K with 74% wins.
- The group paid around 42¢ on average, while Pistons are now near 36¢, offering a cheaper entry than the flagged flow.
$37,065 on Pistons
Sharp bettor plus 13-wallet flow
Sharp 85% lifetime NBA/sports-style bettor bought $16.9k of Cavaliers alongside a 13-wallet, $109.8k one-sided flow.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $738k lifetime.
- 13 wallets are all buying Cavaliers, totaling nearly $110k in the same direction.
- Entry at 62¢ implies the bettor still sees value despite Cavaliers already being favored.
$16,852 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 85%
11-wallet Cavaliers cluster
Coordinated 11-wallet flow put nearly $60k on Cavaliers at 62¢, with at least one highly successful bettor in the group, making it worth surfacing despite the liquid market.
- 11 wallets all moved the same way, putting $59.6k on Cavaliers at about 62¢.
- One wallet in the cluster has won 117 of 119 resolved bets and is up $113k lifetime.
- The buy side is much larger than the opposing flagged Pistons flow, $59.6k versus $8.8k.
$59,625 on Cavaliers
Profitable serial bettor backs underdog
Profitable serial sports bettor with a 68% resolved record joined a 4-wallet one-sided move backing Pistons, though sizing is modest relative to this liquid NBA market.
- This bettor has won 68% of 383 resolved trades and is up about $19.8K lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $8.8K on Pistons.
- Entry at 39¢ implies they see the underdog as underpriced.
$1,377 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 68%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Pistons, $597,926 (57% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — Pistons, $490,554 (95% win rate)
- 0xfbf3...b218 — Pistons, $328,320 (43% win rate)
- 0xc807...c12b — Cavaliers, $262,000 (54% win rate)
- 0xd81e...e3d0 — Cavaliers, $174,056
- 0x6211...b89e — Cavaliers, $169,291 (51% win rate)
- 0x4bff...fc26 — Pistons, $158,111 (33% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Cavaliers, $156,865 (86% win rate)
- 0x0c15...9a45 — Cavaliers, $150,792 (41% win rate)
- 0x6db5...e279 — Cavaliers, $128,999 (54% win rate)
