Part of: Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $133,663.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
74% serial sports winner
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 74% resolved win rate flipped from Pistons exposure into Cavaliers, though the $2k size is modest for this very liquid market.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved bets and is up $312k lifetime.
- They have traded 586 events for over $7M total, making them a strong serial sports bettor to track.
- They closed a prior Pistons position and bought Cavaliers at 75¢, while the market is now around 66¢.
$2,000 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable bettor joins 14-wallet push
High-conviction Cavaliers flow from a profitable 74% sports bettor plus a 14-wallet one-sided cluster, though the price has already moved sharply from 58% to 88%.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved bets and is up $312K lifetime.
- 14 wallets bought Cavaliers the same way, totaling $46.9K in one-sided flow.
- The trade entered at 58¢ and the market has already moved to 88¢.
$3,000 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 74%
15-wallet Cavaliers cluster
Strong one-sided Cavaliers flow from 15 wallets totaling $53.7k, with a repeat new profitable wallet buying before the price moved from 61¢ to 66¢.
- 15 wallets are all buying Cavaliers, totaling $53.7k in the same direction.
- This repeat new bettor is already up $7.8k with 5 wins in 7 resolved bets.
- They entered at 61¢ and the market has already moved to 66¢, suggesting the flow is being validated.
$1,978 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 71%
15-wallet Cavaliers cluster
Surface: a profitable 74% lifetime bettor joined a 15-wallet one-sided Cavaliers flow, though this specific trade also closed a prior Pistons position.
- 15 wallets are all betting Cavaliers, totaling $53.7K in the same direction.
- This wallet wins 74% of resolved bets and is up $312K lifetime.
- Selling Pistons at 40¢ converts to buying Cavaliers at 60¢, below the current 66¢ market price.
$4,251 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp in 15-wallet buy wave
A highly profitable 70% sports bettor joined a 15-wallet one-sided Cavaliers buy wave, with linked funding and price already moving from 63¢ to 66¢.
- This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $2.8M lifetime.
- 15 wallets bought the same side for $53.7K, with 3 wallets sharing a funder.
- Entry at 63¢ is already marked up to 66¢, suggesting the market is following the flow.
$7,515 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 70%
Linked bettors backing Pistons
Coordinated Pistons buying from 11 wallets, including profitable sports bettors, is worth surfacing despite the market being liquid and price currently below their entries.
- 11 wallets backed Pistons in the same window for about $37K total, including linked funding across part of the group.
- Several participating wallets have strong records, including one up $57K with 82% wins and another up $312K with 74% wins.
- The group paid around 42¢ on average, while Pistons are now near 36¢, offering a cheaper entry than the flagged flow.
$37,065 on Pistons
Sharp bettor plus 13-wallet flow
Sharp 85% lifetime NBA/sports-style bettor bought $16.9k of Cavaliers alongside a 13-wallet, $109.8k one-sided flow.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $738k lifetime.
- 13 wallets are all buying Cavaliers, totaling nearly $110k in the same direction.
- Entry at 62¢ implies the bettor still sees value despite Cavaliers already being favored.
$16,852 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 85%
11-wallet Cavaliers cluster
Coordinated 11-wallet flow put nearly $60k on Cavaliers at 62¢, with at least one highly successful bettor in the group, making it worth surfacing despite the liquid market.
- 11 wallets all moved the same way, putting $59.6k on Cavaliers at about 62¢.
- One wallet in the cluster has won 117 of 119 resolved bets and is up $113k lifetime.
- The buy side is much larger than the opposing flagged Pistons flow, $59.6k versus $8.8k.
$59,625 on Cavaliers
Profitable serial bettor backs underdog
Profitable serial sports bettor with a 68% resolved record joined a 4-wallet one-sided move backing Pistons, though sizing is modest relative to this liquid NBA market.
- This bettor has won 68% of 383 resolved trades and is up about $19.8K lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $8.8K on Pistons.
- Entry at 39¢ implies they see the underdog as underpriced.
$1,377 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 68%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 90737935, $597,926 (57% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 90737935, $490,554 (95% win rate)
- 0x4bff...fc26 — Outcome 90737935, $158,111 (33% win rate)
- 0x0c15...9a45 — Outcome 80654515, $150,792 (41% win rate)
- 0x6db5...e279 — Outcome 80654515, $128,999 (54% win rate)
- 0xd106...c79c — Outcome 80654515, $114,093 (53% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 80654515, $110,532 (44% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Outcome 90737935, $90,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 80654515, $62,222 (57% win rate)
- 0x9b1e...82c9 — Outcome 90737935, $51,282 (49% win rate)
