Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,399.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable oil thesis wallet

A profitable wallet is building a sizeable cross-market oil thesis, including a fresh BUY No on WTI reaching $120 in May.

  • This wallet is up $7.6K lifetime despite only 7 resolved markets.
  • The bettor has put about $90K across 3 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Buying No at 55¢ means they are betting WTI stays below $120 through May.

$1,534 on No | Wallet win rate: 43%

Profitable cross-market oil bettor

Profitable wallet with $88k cross-market WTI exposure is effectively buying Yes at 45¢ after a sharp daily move, though this individual fill is small.

  • This wallet is up about $460k on $1.21M invested.
  • It has put $88k across two related oil markets, pointing to a broader WTI upside thesis.
  • This trade effectively buys Yes at 45¢ after the market moved 15.5 points today.

$1,157 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 38%

Profitable cross-market oil bettor

A highly profitable wallet is expressing a cross-market oil thesis with roughly $90k across related WTI markets, including buying No at even odds after a sharp Yes rally.

  • This wallet is up about $460k lifetime despite only 8 resolved trades.
  • The bettor has placed about $90k across 2 related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
  • Buying No at 50¢ after Yes jumped 23.5 points implies they are fading the recent move.

$2,705 on No | Wallet win rate: 38%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,531 | Wallet win rate: 43%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$2,472 | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xaadd...d3f1 No, $64,634 (43% win rate)
  2. 0xe734...4f0c Yes, $41,809 (41% win rate)
  3. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $28,514 (47% win rate)
  4. 0xafc0...5087 Yes, $19,526 (67% win rate)
  5. 0xa953...8bf7 No, $15,522 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xd1d7...07db No, $8,500 (50% win rate)
  7. 0xfd88...4037 Yes, $7,039 (23% win rate)
  8. 0x436f...2c7f Yes, $6,550 (70% win rate)
  9. 0xa092...11e3 No, $6,200 (97% win rate)
  10. 0xa912...9dc1 Yes, $6,100 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

30d$9,399 tracked5 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil
Yes
55¢
No
45¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Price History — “Yes
56¢
36¢
16¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

17h ago

$1,534 on No at 55¢

55¢45¢10¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

20h ago

$1,157 on Yes at 45¢

45¢55¢10¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

22h ago

$2,705 on No at 50¢

50¢45¢5¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

1d ago

$1,531

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

2d ago

$2,472

Related Theses

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | PolySpotter