Part of: Magic vs. Mavericks

Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $205,226.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

90% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp sports trader with a 90% win rate bought Under at 59¢ before the market moved sharply against that side, making this a notable contrarian entry from a high-skill wallet.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their resolved trades and is up $43.5k across 84 settled positions
  • They bought Under at 59¢, while the market now prices Under at 34¢ after a huge 1-day swing
  • This wallet has traded 74 markets across 71 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports edge

$1,573 on Under | Wallet win rate: 39%

Repeat new-wallet whale

A brand-new wallet that has already fired 15 large alerts put $14k into Under just minutes before this live NBA total resolved, a strong conviction pattern worth surfacing despite no proven track record yet.

  • A wallet less than 2 hours old has already triggered 15 large-bet alerts totaling about $359k
  • This bettor put $14k on Under at 51¢ just 2 minutes before the game total resolved
  • The market saw a 104x volume spike, suggesting fast late money hit this line all at once

$14,018 on Under | Wallet win rate: 50%

New wallet late-game whale

A brand-new wallet that has already made $359k of repeated flagged bets just put $15.6k on Under minutes before this live NBA total resolved, a pattern consistent with high-conviction late-game betting.

  • This 2-hour-old wallet has already triggered 15 large-bet alerts totaling $359k, showing unusually aggressive early activity
  • It bought $15.6k of Under at 51¢, with the biggest order placed about 2 minutes before resolution
  • Market volume spiked 243x versus normal, suggesting a burst of informed late-game action rather than routine trading

$15,614 on Under | Wallet win rate: 50%

New whale betting late

A brand-new wallet has repeatedly placed very large live-sports bets and just put nearly $12k on Under only 2 minutes before resolution, a strong conviction pattern despite no resolved track record yet.

  • This wallet is under 2 hours old and has already triggered 14 large-bet alerts totaling $355k
  • It put $11.9k on Under at 51¢ just 2 minutes before the game resolved
  • The bet size is meaningful but not market-moving in a liquid NBA market, so the edge is more about timing than price impact

$11,853 on Under | Wallet win rate: 50%

New whale betting late

A brand-new wallet has already fired 14 large alerts and put nearly $60k into the Under right before this NBA total resolved, a strong conviction pattern worth watching despite no proven track record yet.

  • A wallet just 2 hours old has already triggered 14 large-bet alerts and put nearly $60k on this side
  • All 4 buys were clustered in the final 13 minutes, including one about 2 minutes before resolution
  • The market saw a 714x volume spike, suggesting this bettor was trading into a sudden information-driven move

$59,992 on Under | Wallet win rate: 50%

New whale piling into Under

A brand-new wallet with repeated large bets just deployed nearly $50k on Under at 51¢ into a major pre-game volume spike, signaling strong fresh conviction worth watching despite no proven track record yet.

  • A wallet just 1 hour old put nearly $50k on Under in 3 buys at 51¢.
  • This same wallet has already triggered 13 large-bet alerts totaling about $345k, showing unusually aggressive early activity.
  • The market saw a 1,391x volume spike before the game, suggesting multiple traders are rushing to position.

$49,736 on Under | Wallet win rate: 50%

79% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable 79% win-rate bettor with broad cross-market success is buying into a major pre-game volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 79% of 606 resolved trades and is up $57.6k overall
  • They trade across 481 events and 527 markets, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • The market saw a 392.8x pre-game volume spike, and they bought Over at 50¢ during that surge

$985 on Over | Wallet win rate: 77%

New whale piling into Under

A 90-minute-old wallet with 11 prior large-bet flags just slammed $48.1k into Under at 51¢, driving an extreme pregame volume surge on this NBA total.

  • A 90-minute-old wallet has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts and just put $48.1k on one side
  • This was a fresh, concentrated buy of Under at 51¢, implying a near coin-flip market they think is mispriced
  • Their orders were bigger than the market's prior 24-hour volume and landed during a 393x volume spike

$48,140 on Under | Wallet win rate: 50%

Proven sports grinder buy

A high-volume serial sports trader with 1,610 resolved bets and a 63% win rate made a large buy that dwarfed prior activity in this market, suggesting conviction despite the modest absolute size.

  • This bettor has 1,610 resolved bets, wins 63% of the time, and is up about $31k lifetime
  • Their $1.8k buy was over 20x the market's earlier 24-hour volume, showing unusually strong conviction here
  • They trade heavily across sports markets, with 685 events and more than $2.3M wagered tracked

$1,795 on Over | Wallet win rate: 67%

Proven sports grinder in thin market

A high-volume serial sports trader with 1,607 resolved bets and a 63% win rate just took Over at 49¢ in an otherwise inactive totals market, suggesting informed conviction despite the small absolute size.

  • This bettor has 1,607 resolved bets, wins 63% of them, and is up about $30.7k overall
  • They bought Over at 49¢ in a market with only $88 of 24-hour volume, so this trade was 17x the recent activity
  • This wallet has traded 992 markets across 667 events, which points to a repeatable cross-market betting process

$1,521 on Over | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd106...c79c Outcome 10995232, $1,813 (53% win rate)
  2. 0xeffd...5a86 Outcome 10995232, $1,000 (93% win rate)
  3. 0x3d0d...7435 Outcome 10995232, $423 (78% win rate)
  4. 0x16ce...eba1 Outcome 10995232, $264
  5. 0x27ee...b517 Outcome 10995232, $209
  6. 0x5c80...9564 Outcome 10995232, $129
  7. 0x0056...a7f7 Outcome 10995232, $103
  8. 0x75dc...4f82 Outcome 10995232, $80 (90% win rate)
  9. 0x8230...5121 Outcome 45481275, $76 (75% win rate)
  10. 0x16ea...9400 Outcome 10995232, $66

Related Theses

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Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

ResolvedMagic vs. Mavericks$205,226 tracked10 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 3 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Magic and Mavericks combine to score 240 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 240, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

ORL
41-36
American Airlines Center
DAL
24-53
Draft Kings
Spread: ORL -6.5O/U: 239.5ML: -270/+220
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

41d ago

$1,573 on Under at 59¢

Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

41d ago

$14,018 on Under at 51¢

Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

41d ago

$15,614 on Under at 51¢

Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

41d ago

$11,853 on Under at 51¢

Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

41d ago

$59,992 on Under at 51¢

Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

41d ago

$49,736 on Under at 51¢

Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

41d ago

$985 on Over at 50¢

Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

41d ago

$48,140 on Under at 51¢

Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

41d ago

$1,795 on Over at 51¢

Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

41d ago

$1,521 on Over at 49¢

Related Theses