Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik
This Polymarket market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Mariano Navone and Jakub Mensik, scheduled for May 27, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 3, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $2,000 in smart money and 1 signal tied to this market.
48 smart money signals detected, totaling $180,696.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
99% winner nailed move
Elite 99% win-rate wallet bought Jakub Mensik at 48¢ before the market moved to 100¢, supported by a strong serial cross-market record.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved bets and is up $162K lifetime.
- They bought Jakub Mensik at 48¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- This wallet has traded 73 related events with a 99% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
$2,000 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 99%
Coordinated Navone buy flow
Surfaced due to coordinated one-sided Navone buying plus a profitable serial cross-market trader, though the signal is weaker because the market is very liquid and the bettor’s edge is modest.
- Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $11.5K on Navone.
- This wallet has traded across 32 events and is up $18.7K lifetime.
- The trade effectively backed Navone at 53¢ during a sharp short-term move.
$1,283 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 62%
93% winner with cluster
A highly profitable 93% winner sold Navone, equivalent to buying Mensik at 40¢, alongside one-sided flow from 7 wallets and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $349K lifetime.
- Seven wallets are all leaning the same way, totaling $18.7K on Mensik.
- The trade effectively bought Mensik at 40¢ before the market moved toward 56¢.
$3,000 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 93%
Coordinated Mensik buying
Strong coordinated flow: seven wallets bought Mensik, driving a 20-point move, with this trade coming from a highly profitable serial sports trader.
- Seven wallets are all buying Jakub Mensik, totaling $18.7K on the same side.
- This bettor is up $3.0M lifetime across a very large $223M betting history.
- Mensik moved from this entry at 42¢ to 56¢, suggesting the market is following the flow.
$1,764 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable trader joins Mensik cluster
High composite score driven by a profitable high-volume sports trader joining 5-wallet one-sided Mensik buying amid a pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor is up about $3.0M lifetime across more than 37,000 resolved trades.
- Five wallets bought the same side, putting about $12.5K behind Jakub Mensik.
- Market volume spiked 13.6x before the match, suggesting fresh pre-event positioning.
$1,571 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 56%
Elite sharp backs Mensik
Elite 80% win-rate tennis bettor sold Navone, equivalent to buying Mensik at 38¢, alongside one-sided flow from 5 wallets and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.77M lifetime.
- They sold Navone at 62¢, which is the same as buying Mensik at 38¢ before Mensik moved to about 46¢.
- Five wallets are all backing Mensik, with nearly $15K in one-sided buying during a 13.5x volume spike.
$3,621 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable bettor joins Mensik push
Profitable serial sports bettor effectively bought Jakub Mensik at 40¢ alongside a 5-wallet one-sided push and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 63% of 151 resolved trades and is up $18K lifetime.
- Five wallets are all betting Jakub Mensik, totaling about $15K in the same direction.
- Selling Navone at 60¢ is equivalent to buying Mensik at 40¢, below the current 46¢ market price.
$1,002 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp cluster backing Navone
Surface: a 7-wallet Navone cluster includes multiple highly profitable sports traders, with volume spiking and price momentum supporting the move despite some opposing flow.
- Several proven bettors are backing the same side, including wallets with 98%, 93%, and 80% win records.
- The strongest wallets here are up over $4.1M combined lifetime, led by one bettor up $3.77M.
- Navone has attracted $14K from 7 wallets while the market is up 9 points over the last day.
$13,962 on Mariano Navone
Profitable whale flips sides
Highly profitable serial sports trader flipped from a large Navone position into Mensik, with 9-wallet same-side flow and a pre-event volume spike supporting the move.
- This bettor has won 71% of 9,126 resolved bets and is up $13.2M lifetime.
- They closed a large Navone position and bought $8.0K of Mensik, signaling a clear side switch.
- Nine wallets bought Mensik in the same window for $31.4K total, alongside a 25.8x volume spike.
$7,952 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 70%
87% winner joins 9-wallet push
A highly profitable 87% win-rate bettor bought Jakub Mensik alongside a 9-wallet same-direction move and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $40k lifetime.
- 9 wallets have bought Jakub Mensik in the same window, totaling $31k of one-sided flow.
- They entered at 46¢, while Mensik is now around 48¢ after heavy pre-match volume.
$1,886 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x03f8...d85a — Outcome 52649203, $104,211 (95% win rate)
- 0x5966...f804 — Outcome 52649203, $79,999 (92% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 52649203, $25,633 (46% win rate)
- 0xd123...d341 — Outcome 52649203, $24,259 (70% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Outcome 52649203, $10,204 (81% win rate)
- 0xa6c3...55a3 — Outcome 52649203, $7,658 (59% win rate)
- 0xdba8...9acc — Outcome 52649203, $6,666 (18% win rate)
- 0x6b91...06c4 — Outcome 52649203, $5,992 (95% win rate)
- 0xa5eb...93bf — Outcome 52649203, $5,623 (67% win rate)
- 0xab6b...f517 — Outcome 52649203, $5,006
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