Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)

This Polymarket prediction market covers the CS2 PGL Astana Group Stage Round 2 match between FURIA and Heroic, using a map handicap of FURIA -1.5 versus Heroic +1.5. It resolves to FURIA if FURIA wins by at least 2 maps; otherwise it resolves to Heroic, with resolution scheduled for May 10, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,927 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between FURIA and Heroic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA wins 2 or more maps than Heroic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Heroic". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,177.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Perfect new esports bettor

A young wallet with a perfect early record and positive P&L bought FURIA despite a modest price-impact signal, making this a watchable but not top-tier copy-trade candidate.

  • This 22-day-old wallet is 6-for-6 on resolved bets and up $2.5K so far.
  • The bettor bought FURIA at 43¢ after a fast 12-point move, suggesting confidence despite the current price drifting to 37¢.
  • Their entry implies a roughly 2.3x payout if FURIA covers the handicap.

$1,250 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market bettor with a long profitable history bought FURIA at 42¢, suggesting a directional thesis despite only a moderate composite score.

  • This bettor is up $154K across 948 resolved trades with a 61% win rate.
  • They have traded across 43 events and $212K in similar cross-market activity.
  • Entry at 42¢ implies they see FURIA -1.5 as a better shot than the market’s current odds.

$1,927 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8a92...6941 FURIA, $18,084 (61% win rate)
  2. 0xe7e1...ec43 Heroic, $13,670 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x1341...0853 Heroic, $9,336 (86% win rate)
  4. 0x3bae...885a FURIA, $7,000 (59% win rate)
  5. 0x62c3...bfc9 FURIA, $5,690
  6. 0xafd4...7e61 Heroic, $3,000 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x63d4...a2f1 FURIA, $2,802 (94% win rate)
  8. 0xa7df...5eee Heroic, $2,506 (54% win rate)
  9. 0x83b3...b3a2 FURIA, $2,200 (80% win rate)
  10. 0xe922...39b3 Heroic, $2,058 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

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Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)

2hCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$3,177 tracked2 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
FURIA
100¢
Heroic
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between FURIA and Heroic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA wins 2 or more maps than Heroic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Heroic". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “FURIA
102¢
70¢
38¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)

2h ago

$1,250 on FURIA at 43¢

43¢100¢57¢

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)

4h ago

$1,927 on FURIA at 42¢

42¢100¢58¢

Related Theses