Part of: Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
This market asks whether Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $400 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and the token must be publicly transferable and tradable to count as launched. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,510 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including a recent NO buy from an 84% winner.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,652.
Categories: Crypto, Predict.fun, FDV, Pre-Market, fdv
Notable Trades
84% winner buying NO
Sharp bettor with an 84% resolved-bet win rate and +$43k lifetime P&L bought No at 36¢ despite only a modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $43k lifetime.
- They bought No at 36¢, taking the less popular side against a market pricing Yes around 63%.
- The market is fairly quiet today with only $2.7k in 24h volume, so a $1.5k buy is meaningful flow.
$1,510 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 5-day-old wallet has already made 12 sizable bets totaling $21k and is adding another $3.1k into this market, which makes it a credible new-wallet conviction signal despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 5-day-old wallet has already triggered 12 large-bet alerts with $21k flagged in total
- It just put $3.1k into Yes in two buys at 35-36¢, showing fresh conviction rather than profit-taking
- At 35-36¢, the bettor is paying a price that implies this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market thinks
$3,142 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa66c...f291 — Yes, $31,328
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — No, $25,000 (80% win rate)
- 0x1ca4...f2d4 — No, $23,754
- 0xcff3...2eee — Yes, $15,130 (51% win rate)
- 0xac9b...d4c5 — Yes, $14,871 (37% win rate)
- 0x1428...3822 — Yes, $14,334
- 0xfc1c...5d10 — Yes, $11,065
- 0x0072...3d75 — Yes, $10,006 (71% win rate)
- 0xefb3...02bf — No, $10,000 (77% win rate)
- 0xc88e...f3e1 — No, $10,000 (37% win rate)
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