Part of: Mexico vs. South Africa - More Markets
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $87,828.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
97% serial sports bettor
Surfaced because this is a serial cross-market bettor with a 97% resolved win record and positive lifetime P&L buying Over despite the market later trading below their entry.
- This bettor has won 97% of 477 resolved bets and is up about $5.6K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 130 events and over $511K in tracked volume.
- They bought Over at 81¢; the market is now around 72¢, offering a cheaper entry than they paid.
$1,867 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%
Serial bettors taking Under
Three wallets are aligned on Under, including a highly profitable high-volume bettor and a serial cross-market trader building a broader thesis across this event.
- Three wallets are all taking Under, totaling $5.4K in the same direction.
- One participating bettor is up $2.1M lifetime across a very large betting history.
- This flow is part of a broader 4-market event position, with a serial cross-market trader active across 77 events.
$5,378 on Under
Late Under cluster
High-conviction late Under positioning: this wallet put $40k on Under seconds before resolution alongside a 10-wallet same-direction cluster and cross-market event activity.
- 10 wallets are all betting Under, with $52,968 moving the same way near the end.
- This wallet put $40,000 on Under in the final 3 minutes of a live match market.
- The bet came during a sharp volume surge and across related event markets, suggesting coordinated conviction.
$40,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 21%
Sharp bettors buying Over
Surface because multiple profitable sports bettors, including a $913k lifetime winner and a 92% win-rate wallet, are buying Over together with broader cross-market positioning on the event.
- One buyer wins 92% of resolved bets and is up nearly $50k lifetime.
- Another bettor is up $913k lifetime across 899 resolved bets and has traded 111 related events.
- Three wallets bought Over at 69¢, with $46k in broader cross-market positioning on this event.
$5,748 on Over
85% winner buying Over
Sharp serial sports trader with an 85% win rate and $404,790 lifetime profit bought $5,000 of Over at 71¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $404,790 lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market trader with $1.6M tracked across 132 events.
- Bought $5,000 of Over at 71¢, adding conviction in a liquid World Cup total market.
$5,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 77%
Fresh wallet chasing Over
A brand-new wallet opened a $3k Over position shortly before the match and already bought both before and after a sharp move from 44¢ to 70¢.
- This wallet is only 22 minutes old but immediately put $3k on Over.
- Their first buy was at 44¢ and the market is now 70¢, suggesting they caught a sharp move early.
- They added again at 70¢, showing they still like the position at the current price.
$3,042 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
78% winner buying Over
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 78% resolved win rate with positive lifetime P&L and is buying Over at 70¢ despite otherwise modest signal strength.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $5.0K lifetime.
- Their historical bets beat market-implied odds by 21 percentage points on average.
- Entry at 70¢ implies a straightforward Over position in a highly liquid market.
$1,900 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% record and $345k lifetime profit bought Over 1.5 at 70¢.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $345k lifetime.
- They have traded across 180 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 70¢ means they are backing a fairly likely outcome with proven positive returns.
$7,044 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%
$2M winner buying Under
Highly experienced profitable wallet is buying Under as part of a broader $48.9k cross-market position on the same match.
- This bettor is up $2.08M lifetime across 77,147 resolved trades.
- They have built $48.9k in positions across 5 related markets on this match.
- Buying Under at 30¢ goes against the market’s 70% Over pricing.
$3,513 on Under | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable cross-market bettor
A highly profitable high-volume wallet is building a cross-market thesis across five related Mexico vs. South Africa markets, including buying Under 1.5 at 30¢.
- This bettor is up $2.15M lifetime across more than 76,000 resolved trades.
- They have placed $40K across 5 markets tied to the same game, suggesting a broader match thesis.
- Entry at 30¢ implies a potential 3.3x payout if the game stays under 2 total goals.
$1,610 on Under | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0x1d94...9100 — Outcome 58031730, $11,875
- 0xa85b...eb0e — Outcome 58031730, $11,829 (85% win rate)
- 0x1c66...e371 — Outcome 58031730, $8,871 (77% win rate)
- 0x5257...f324 — Outcome 58031730, $6,840 (98% win rate)
- 0x564f...d93b — Outcome 58031730, $5,000 (53% win rate)
- 0xdaef...54e9 — Outcome 58031730, $5,000 (65% win rate)
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 58031730, $4,857 (71% win rate)
- 0xf021...e900 — Outcome 58031730, $4,279 (66% win rate)
- 0x5b75...433b — Outcome 58031730, $3,046 (52% win rate)
- 0x3b99...4b3a — Outcome 58031730, $2,363 (59% win rate)
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