Part of: UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $361,493.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp 86% serial bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 86% win rate and substantial edge bought Jose Miguel Delgado before the market moved to 100%.
- This bettor has won 86% of 117 resolved trades, beating their average entry odds by 28 percentage points.
- They placed $3,652 on Jose Miguel Delgado at 83¢ before the outcome moved to 100%.
- The wallet has traded 60 markets across 54 events and is up $65,351 overall.
$3,652 on Jose Miguel Delgado | Wallet win rate: 87%
94% winner backs Delgado
A highly experienced 94% win-rate serial trader bought Delgado at 81¢ amid a major volume surge and rapid repricing to near certainty.
- This bettor has won 94% of 1,853 resolved trades and is up $66,011 lifetime.
- The $1,260 purchase at 81¢ arrived during a 32x volume spike and was followed by a rapid move toward 100%.
- The trader has positioned across 58 events, suggesting an established cross-market betting process rather than a one-off wager.
$1,260 on Jose Miguel Delgado | Wallet win rate: 94%
Proven sharp backs Delgado
A proven 87% winner is buying Jose Miguel Delgado at 72% amid a major volume spike and strong cross-market activity.
- This bettor has won 87% of 268 resolved bets and is up $83,344.
- They bought Jose Miguel Delgado at 72%, reinforcing the 75% market favorite.
- Trading volume is running 20.8 times its historical average, adding support to the move.
$1,000 on Jose Miguel Delgado | Wallet win rate: 87%
Serial UFC bettor with 1,392 resolved trades
An established serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought the 75% favorite amid a major volume spike, though the wallet's measured edge is moderate.
- This bettor has a 72% win rate across 1,392 resolved trades and is up $137,283 lifetime.
- The $1,491 bet backs Jose Miguel Delgado at 75% while market volume surged to more than 20 times its historical average.
- The trader has positioned across 46 separate events, making this more notable than an isolated favorite purchase.
$1,491 on Jose Miguel Delgado | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial bettor backs Bashi
A highly experienced cross-market bettor with a 63% win rate and $703,000 profit placed a fresh $3,884 bet on Austin Bashi, though the market is liquid and the signal is moderate.
- This bettor wins 63% of 3,460 resolved bets and is up about $703,000 lifetime.
- The wallet placed a fresh $3,884 bet on Austin Bashi at 54¢, nearly matching the current market price.
- It has traded across 534 events and 798 markets, providing a substantial record behind this position.
$21,287 on Austin Bashi | Wallet win rate: 64%
$90K Bashi buying surge
A $90.7K one-sided surge from four wallets preceded a 23-point move in Austin Bashi, led by two profitable traders despite one large losing wallet and substantial existing positions.
- Four wallets committed $90,697 to Austin Bashi, including two profitable bettors with 68% and 69% win rates.
- The buying arrived during a 110x volume spike and preceded Austin Bashi moving from roughly 57% to 76%.
- Much of the flow adds to existing positions, while the largest bettor has a poor long-term record; the current 76¢ price is already above the suggested copy ceiling.
$35,940 on Austin Bashi
93% winner adds $173K to Delgado
A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor added $173,357 to Jose Miguel Delgado amid an extreme volume spike, making this a strong directional trade worth tracking.
- This bettor has won 93% of 248 resolved positions and earned more than $10.2 million.
- They added $173,357 to Jose Miguel Delgado at 45%, building on an existing $396,668 position.
- Trading volume was 1,657 times its historical average while Delgado’s odds moved toward 42%.
$173,357 on Jose Miguel Delgado | Wallet win rate: 93%
93% winner scaling into Delgado
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial existing exposure added $112,902 to Jose Miguel Delgado at 45¢ during an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 93% of 248 resolved positions and is up $10.2 million.
- They added $112,902 to Jose Miguel Delgado at 45¢, increasing an existing $396,668 position.
- The trade coincided with a 351.7× historical volume spike, signaling unusually strong conviction.
$112,902 on Jose Miguel Delgado | Wallet win rate: 93%
Serial bettor adds to Bashi
A serial cross-market bettor with a 70% win rate is adding $6.7K to Austin Bashi during a 51x volume spike, though the position is not backed by an exceptional proven edge.
- A bettor with 43 resolved positions and a 70% win rate is adding $6,720 to Austin Bashi.
- The trade coincides with a 51x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong pre-event interest.
- This is an add to an existing $14,700 Bashi position at 56¢, signaling continued conviction rather than profit-taking.
$6,720 on Austin Bashi | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial bettor backs Bashi
A highly experienced cross-market bettor with a 63% win rate and $703,000 profit placed a fresh $3,884 bet on Austin Bashi, though the market is liquid and the signal is moderate.
- This bettor wins 63% of 3,460 resolved bets and is up about $703,000 lifetime.
- The wallet placed a fresh $3,884 bet on Austin Bashi at 54¢, nearly matching the current market price.
- It has traded across 534 events and 798 markets, providing a substantial record behind this position.
$3,884 on Austin Bashi | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 38472393, $216,145 (64% win rate)
- 0x3333...3c23 — Outcome 38472393, $175,362
- 0x9e5e...fd91 — Outcome 38472393, $14,798 (95% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 38472393, $11,559 (63% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 38472393, $9,351 (74% win rate)
- 0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 38472393, $8,793 (97% win rate)
- 0x9fad...5a9f — Outcome 38472393, $6,720 (41% win rate)
- 0x58aa...a481 — Outcome 38472393, $5,172 (68% win rate)
- 0x1c0c...7c83 — Outcome 38472393, $3,879 (71% win rate)
- 0x7b88...5d08 — Outcome 38472393, $3,571 (63% win rate)
Related Theses
Knicks Cavaliers stay under
Covers 4 related markets
Canadiens win high-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
Rockies Athletics stay low scoring
Covers 4 related markets
Tempo-Dream stays under 178
Covers 3 related markets
Sparks-Tempo stays under
Covers 3 related markets
Belgium advances in low scorer
Covers 5 related markets
Marlins win low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
England advances after 1-1 draw
Covers 4 related markets
Storm-Dream stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Spain advances in a low-scoring win
Covers 3 related markets
