Part of: US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoe
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoe
This market refers on the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Frances Tiafoe in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 4 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $80,938.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
92% winner led surge
Three wallets piled into Tommy Paul during a fast 34.5-point price move, led by a bettor with a 92% win rate over 1,089 resolved markets and $1.6M profit.
- A bettor who wins 92% of 1,089 resolved trades and is up $1.6M joined this move
- Three wallets bought the same side as Tommy Paul jumped 34.5 points in about 4 minutes
- Entries from 40¢ to 85¢ all went to 100¢, showing aggressive conviction during the breakout
$7,126 on Tommy Paul
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 2-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed unusually large bets and just sold Tommy Paul aggressively enough to help drive a sharp 34.5-point move, signaling strong conviction despite limited track record.
- A 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts and put over $51k to work
- This $12.9k trade helped push Tommy Paul down from 65¢ to 55¢ in about 4 minutes
- The bettor is taking a strong view in a sports market with deep volume, not just poking at a thin market
$12,922 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 50%
81% win-rate sports bettor
A proven 81% win-rate sports trader bought Frances Tiafoe during a sharp pre-match move, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the price now being much lower.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades across 78 bets and has traded 62 markets in 55 events
- They bought Frances Tiafoe as the market was surging, with a 39.6x volume spike and a 31.6-point price jump
- Their entry was 72¢, but the market is now 36¢, offering a much cheaper follow price if their read was right
$2,499 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 88%
New wallet chasing mispricing
A very new wallet has already made 11 sizable flagged bets and just bought Frances Tiafoe before a sharp 34.5-point price jump, suggesting aggressive conviction worth watching despite limited track record.
- This 20-hour-old wallet has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts and put $4.9k on this side
- The buy came at 40¢ and the market quickly moved to 46¢ after a fast 34.5-point surge
- This is fresh conviction from a new account with 5 positions already, not routine profit-taking
$4,911 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 40%
18-0 sharp bettor
A bettor with a perfect 18-0 resolved record bought Frances Tiafoe at 34¢ into a strong pre-match volume spike, making this small but sharp-looking sports position worth watching.
- This bettor has won 100% of 18 resolved bets and is up $44k
- They bought Frances Tiafoe at 34¢, a price that implies a nearly 3x payout if right
- The trade landed during a 12.9x surge in market volume before the match
$1,250 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 71%
4-wallet funded cluster
A profitable high-volume sports trader from a 4-wallet linked cluster bought into a pre-match volume surge, making this flow worth watching despite the modest ticket size and slightly worse current price.
- This wallet has nearly 1,900 resolved bets, wins 62% of them, and is up about $23k overall.
- Four wallets funded by the same source have put about $25.4k into related bets, which points to coordinated conviction.
- The match market saw an 83x volume spike, and this bettor paid 89¢ for Tommy Paul while the market now sits lower at 84¢.
$1,414 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 56%
26-0 sharp backing Tiafoe
A bettor with a perfect 26-for-26 resolved record just put $16.7k on Frances Tiafoe at 35¢ during an unusually large volume surge, making this worth surfacing despite the low composite score.
- This bettor has won 26 of 26 resolved trades and is up $438k lifetime
- They bought Frances Tiafoe at 35¢ with a $16.7k bet during an 86.7x volume spike
- Entry at 35¢ implies they see Tiafoe as meaningfully undervalued versus the market near 32¢ now
$16,670 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor on underdog
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 74% win rate and nearly $1.0M in profit is taking a meaningful underdog position on Frances Tiafoe at 31¢, making this a copy-worthy sharp bet despite only one signal firing.
- This bettor has won 446 of 600 resolved trades and is up about $969k overall
- They bought Frances Tiafoe at 31¢, a clear underdog price against a 70¢ Tommy Paul market
- This wallet has traded 88 markets across 78 events, showing a broad repeatable betting edge
$5,410 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 64%
3-wallet dogpile on underdog
Three wallets piled into Frances Tiafoe with nearly $12k during a sharp volume and price spike, including one serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win rate across 78 resolved markets.
- Three wallets bought Frances Tiafoe for $11.9k in a coordinated burst as his price jumped 34.5 points in about 4 minutes
- One of the wallets wins 81% of its resolved markets across 56 events, giving this cluster at least one proven sharp bettor
- Most buys came at 40-46¢ while the market is now 36¢, so the copied entry only makes sense at a cheaper price than the original flow
$11,850 on Frances Tiafoe
86% win-rate underdog buyer
A highly profitable 86% win-rate sports trader bought Frances Tiafoe at 29¢ during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a strong underdog signal worth following.
- This bettor wins 86% of their resolved trades and is up $122.6k across 64 bets.
- They bought Frances Tiafoe at 29¢, pricing him like a long shot with roughly 2.4x upside if they are right.
- This wallet has bet across 43 events with the same strong hit rate, and this market saw a 473x volume spike before the match.
$4,651 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 88%
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