Part of: World Cup: Furthest Advancing AFC Nation

Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

This prediction market asks whether Japan will advance further than every other AFC nation at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It resolves after the tournament based on the latest stage reached, with wins and then goals used as tiebreakers; PolySpotter currently tracks $3,879 in smart money and 1 signal on this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,879.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, world cup, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Continental Futures

Notable Trades

99% winner bought thin market

A highly profitable 99% win-rate wallet bought Japan Yes in a thin market before a sharp move higher, making this a strong copy-trade candidate if price retraces.

  • This bettor has won 80 of 81 resolved positions and is up about $192k lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 49¢ before the market moved to around 62¢.
  • The bet was larger than recent market activity, with only about $1.3k in liquidity and a wide spread.

$3,879 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 81272683, $9,500
  2. 0x8dd8...9a1c — Outcome 81272683, $6,266 (57% win rate)
  3. 0xda3a...381f — Outcome 81272683, $955 (52% win rate)
  4. 0xb850...7597 — Outcome 81272683, $733
  5. 0xb8f6...4f7f — Outcome 81272683, $275
  6. 0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 81272683, $162
  7. 0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 81272683, $50
  8. 0x0a91...0776 — Outcome 81272683, $45
  9. 0x13ad...65fd — Outcome 81272683, $40
  10. 0x4247...455f — Outcome 81272683, $40

Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

1dWorld Cup: Furthest Advancing AFC Nation$3,879 tracked1 signalSoccerSportsworld cupFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World CupContinental Futures

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

20d ago

$3,879 on Yes at 49¢