Part of: Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-one match between 9z and FlyQuest in Round 1 of IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, scheduled for June 6 at 8:30 AM ET. The market resolves to 9z if 9z win, FlyQuest if FlyQuest win, and 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $22,291 in smart money across 3 signals, with recent alerts showing sharp buying interest on 9z as the underdog.
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $111,167.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp trio buying underdog
Three profitable wallets, including two bettors with 92%+ win rates and seven-figure lifetime profits, took a coordinated $15.6k position on FlyQuest despite the market now pricing them much lower.
- Two wallets in this cluster win over 92% of their resolved bets and are up a combined $3.8M lifetime.
- Three wallets put $15.6k on FlyQuest, including a $6.7k buy from a bettor with a 93% record.
- The market now prices FlyQuest at 18%, below this cluster’s roughly 33¢ average entry, offering a cheaper copy price.
$15,626 on FlyQuest
92% win-rate esports whale
Highly profitable serial sports trader bought 9z with a 92% historical win rate, alongside a large pre-event volume spike and upward price move.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $2.5M lifetime.
- They have traded 473 related events, suggesting deep cross-market experience rather than a one-off bet.
- 9z moved up about 17 points as volume spiked 31x before the match.
$5,365 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 92%
94% winner backing favorite
Sharp bettor with a 94% resolved win record bought 9z amid a major volume spike and upward price move.
- This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved bets and is up $1,691 lifetime.
- They bought 9z at 80¢ as the market moved up about 17 percentage points.
- Volume is surging at 31x the historical average, supporting the move.
$1,300 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 94%
92% winner fading favorite
Elite high-volume bettor with a 92% resolved win rate is fading 9z despite the market pricing them as a heavy favorite.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.5M lifetime.
- They are effectively backing FlyQuest at 27¢ by selling 9z at 73¢.
- This wallet has traded 612 markets across 472 events, and this market also saw a 19.6x pre-event volume spike.
$1,623 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 92%
93% win-rate sharp
A highly profitable 93% win-rate serial sports bettor made a $6.7k FlyQuest buy, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.32M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 271 events with the same 93% hit rate.
- The $6.7k FlyQuest buy was at 40¢, but the market has since fallen to 13¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow.
$6,656 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp cluster on 9z
A strong esports signal: three wallets aligned on 9z, led by a 91% winner and another highly profitable serial trader, with the price moving sharply in their direction.
- A bettor who wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $145,922 bought 9z heavily.
- Another long-running profitable wallet is up $412,419 lifetime and joined the same side.
- Three wallets put $8,962 on 9z, helping move the price from 56¢ to 72¢.
$8,962 on 9z
94% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet with massive cross-market history bought $5,000 of FlyQuest at 45¢ amid a volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up nearly $4.0M lifetime.
- They have traded 574 events and $7.5M across markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 45¢ implies FlyQuest is being priced as the underdog despite this sharp taking the other side.
$5,000 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate and nearly $2M lifetime profit bought 9z at 56¢ despite the bet being modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor has won 74% of 930 resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They are a major serial cross-market trader, active across 556 events with $5.4M tracked volume.
- Entry at 56¢ suggests they see 9z as better than the current market price.
$1,142 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with $1.0M lifetime P&L is placing a $20k BUY on 9z at 56¢.
- This bettor is up $1.0M lifetime across 156 resolved bets.
- They have traded 254 events and won 63% of resolved positions.
- A $20k entry at 56¢ signals meaningful conviction on 9z.
$20,000 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 63%
96% winner backs 9z
Sharp bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $371k lifetime profit bought $6.2k of 9z at 55¢.
- This bettor has won 23 of 24 resolved positions and is up $371k lifetime.
- They put $6.2k on 9z at 55¢ in a liquid esports market.
- Entry at 55¢ implies they see 9z as meaningfully more likely than the market price.
$6,178 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x1136...0c2e — Outcome 26577766, $88,283 (50% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 26577766, $30,628 (66% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Outcome 26577766, $30,068 (94% win rate)
- 0x88d1...18da — Outcome 26577766, $23,000 (69% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 26577766, $22,775 (62% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Outcome 26577766, $20,000 (76% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 26577766, $16,666 (93% win rate)
- 0x8fbb...9a17 — Outcome 79800076, $15,863 (73% win rate)
- 0xba8c...e77d — Outcome 79800076, $15,000 (86% win rate)
- 0x44c5...8d45 — Outcome 26577766, $12,197 (77% win rate)
Related Theses
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