Part of: Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,052.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying Yes
A proven 81% win-rate bettor re-entered Leverkusen via a Sell No/Buy Yes alongside a 7-wallet one-sided linked cluster and a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved markets across 1,201 bets and has traded 829 markets in 602 events
- Seven wallets all leaned the same way on Yes, totaling $33.5k, and two share a funding link
- This trade effectively bought Yes at 52¢, while the market now shows 44-45¢ after heavy pre-match flow
$2,051 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
4-wallet No pile-in
Four wallets piled nearly $36k into No during a massive pre-match volume spike, and one of them has an unusually high 92% hit rate, making this coordinated move worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
- Four wallets bought nearly $35.8k of No within minutes, showing clear one-sided conviction
- One wallet wins 92% of 1,146 resolved bets, though often at heavy-favorite prices
- They entered around 52-53¢ and the market moved to 60¢ right after the burst of buying
$35,773 on No
93% win-rate live bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 93% win rate and $106k profit bought No at 34¢ just 3 minutes before resolution, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 93% of their resolved trades and is up $106k on $219k invested
- The bet came just 3 minutes before the match ended, a pattern that often signals a real-time edge in live sports
- Buying No at 34¢ means they only needed Leverkusen not to win more than about 1 in 3 times to have value
$1,030 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
20-for-20 sharp bettor
A proven sharp wallet with a perfect 20-for-20 resolved record bought No at 32¢ on a liquid soccer market, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor has won 20 of 20 resolved trades and is up $26.8k on $50.2k invested
- They have bet across 37 different events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off lucky hit
- They bought No at 32¢ in a liquid market, implying they see Bayer not winning as better than a 32% chance
$2,352 on No | Wallet win rate: 45%
93% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp bettor with a 93% win rate and strong historical edge is taking a fresh No position at 32¢ on this soccer market, making it a worthwhile copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $106k on $219k invested
- They have tracked this edge across 120 events, so this is a repeatable pattern rather than a one-off bet
- Buying No at 32¢ means they think Leverkusen is overpriced at 68%
$2,846 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x1bc8...2f68 — Outcome 11376755, $14,939 (93% win rate)
- 0x37c1...c53a — Outcome 11376755, $11,785 (67% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 11376755, $11,577 (72% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 11376755, $8,879 (64% win rate)
- 0x1333...173b — Outcome 11376755, $8,289 (18% win rate)
- 0xe911...3d4e — Outcome 11376755, $2,056 (69% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11376755, $1,842
- 0x161a...4103 — Outcome 11376755, $1,382 (93% win rate)
- 0x2652...2a1d — Outcome 11376755, $1,063
- 0xdd55...c9bf — Outcome 11376755, $1,026 (74% win rate)
Related Theses
Celtic fail to win
Covers 1 related market
