Three wallets bought the same No side, totaling $16.1K in coordinated flow. Market volume is running 36x above its historical average before the match. Entry at 40¢ implies a 2.5x payout if Mbappé does not score.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $398k lifetime. They bought $15.25k at 61¢, adding to a market where 4 wallets are all backing Yes. Volume is running 55x above normal before the match, suggesting broader sharp interest.

Part of: France vs. Sweden - Player Props

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $86,543.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

97% winner fading Mbappé

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought Mbappé No at 40¢ despite only weak automated signals.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
They bought No at 40¢, implying they see value against Mbappé scoring.
The market has seen a 29.5x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum around this prop.

$5,120 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

New whale repeat buyer

A 2-day-old wallet is making repeat large sports bets, with this $5k Mbappé Yes buy representing nearly half of the market's 24h volume.

This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 3 large-bet alerts totaling $19.5k.
The $5k buy is nearly half of this market’s 24h volume, showing unusually strong conviction.
Entry at 60¢ suggests they are willing to pay above the current 58% market odds.

$7,326 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor fading Mbappé goal

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% record and strong cross-market history bought No on Mbappé scoring, alongside one-sided flow from other wallets.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $173,958 lifetime.
They are a proven cross-market trader across 57 events, with $602,639 in tracked volume.
Three wallets are all buying No here, totaling $16,090 in same-direction flow.

$4,802 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Three-wallet No flow

Coordinated No buying plus a 36x pre-event volume spike makes this Mbappé goals fade worth surfacing despite the lead wallet’s weak lifetime P&L.

Three wallets bought the same No side, totaling $16.1K in coordinated flow.
Market volume is running 36x above its historical average before the match.
Entry at 40¢ implies a 2.5x payout if Mbappé does not score.

$7,231 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%

92% winner backs Yes

Elite 92% win-rate sports bettor bought $15.25k of Yes alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $398k lifetime.
They bought $15.25k at 61¢, adding to a market where 4 wallets are all backing Yes.
Volume is running 55x above normal before the match, suggesting broader sharp interest.

$15,250 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Elite winner buying No

Surface because the No cluster includes a bettor with an exceptional 89% resolved-bet record and nearly $3M lifetime profit, despite opposing Yes-side flow.

One No buyer wins 89% of resolved bets and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
Three wallets bought $12.4K of No at 40¢ before the match.
Market volume is surging, though there is also larger opposing Yes-side flow.

$12,442 on No

80% winner joins Yes cluster

A highly profitable 80% winner bought Yes alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $97,410 lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 68 events with the same 80% hit rate.
Four wallets are all buying Yes, with $32,896 of one-sided flow into the market.

$1,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Pre-game Yes cluster

Three wallets bought $13.5k of Mbappé Yes into a 36.7x pre-event volume spike, with one modestly profitable high-win bettor leading the flow.

Three wallets bought $13.5k of Yes around 58–60¢ before kickoff.
Market volume spiked 36.7x versus its usual pace, pointing to fresh pre-game positioning.
The largest buyer has won 74% of 57 resolved bets and is slightly profitable lifetime.

$13,549 on Yes

90% win-rate serial bettor

Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Mbappé to score at 57¢.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $47k lifetime.
They have traded across 58 events with $833k total deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 57¢ implies they see Mbappé scoring as underpriced despite a liquid market.

$1,501 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

90% win-rate serial bettor

Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Mbappé to score at 57¢.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $47k lifetime.
They have traded across 58 events with $833k total deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 57¢ implies they see Mbappé scoring as underpriced despite a liquid market.

$1,501 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

0xa080...234f — Outcome 23323320, $57,689 (46% win rate)
0x20b9...4aff — Outcome 23323320, $26,955
0x6764...49c4 — Outcome 23323320, $23,122 (100% win rate)
0x4337...8882 — Outcome 23323320, $22,222 (75% win rate)
0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 23323320, $12,800 (97% win rate)
0xf4e1...34a5 — Outcome 23323320, $11,783 (86% win rate)
0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 23323320, $10,308 (91% win rate)
0xd696...8a49 — Outcome 23323320, $10,156 (89% win rate)
0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 23323320, $10,000 (52% win rate)
0xaf1a...ba1e — Outcome 23323320, $6,013 (97% win rate)

Related Theses

Manchester City will win

Covers 1 related market

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

ResolvedFrance vs. Sweden - Player Props$86,543 tracked13 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes”

102¢

75¢

49¢