Part of: Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?
Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,751.
Categories: Ethereum, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer flipped Up
Serial near-resolution ETH bettor with strong lifetime profit flipped into Up minutes before resolution and immediately moved the market to 100%.
- This bettor is up $272k lifetime and has made 37 near-resolution bets across 12 markets.
- They bought $3.8k of Up at 78–83¢ just 12 minutes before resolution, and the market quickly moved to 100¢.
- They had previously held Down but closed it, then flipped to Up as resolution approached.
$3,796 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial timer buying late
Serial near-resolution crypto trader with a long profitable record flipped into Up minutes before settlement and drove a rapid price move.
- This bettor has 3,846 resolved trades, wins 67%, and is up $272K lifetime.
- They bought $5.9K of Up about 12 minutes before resolution after closing a prior Down position.
- The market jumped 16 points in 4 minutes, with their entries from 75¢ to 83¢ now trading around 88¢.
$5,931 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial timer flips Up
Profitable serial near-resolution ETH trader flipped into $10.3k of Up with 12 minutes left, alongside a 38.5x volume spike and sharp price move.
- This bettor is up $272k lifetime and has a long pattern of last-minute crypto bets.
- They bought $10.3k of Up about 12 minutes before resolution, pushing entries from 75–85¢ to a current 94¢.
- Volume spiked 38.5x as they flipped from a closed Down position into Up near the finish.
$10,308 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial timer flips Up
Profitable serial near-resolution crypto bettor flipped into Up with a $4.4k buy shortly before resolution, backed by a long positive track record.
- This bettor is up $272k lifetime with a 67% win rate across 3,846 resolved trades.
- They bought $4.4k of Up just 19 minutes before resolution, matching a 30-bet pattern of near-resolution entries.
- They had previously closed a Down position and are now positioned the other way, suggesting a fresh late-market view.
$4,377 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial timer flips Up
Profitable high-volume crypto trader bought Up shortly before resolution, backed by a long history of successful cross-market and near-expiry trades.
- This bettor is up $272,640 across 3,846 resolved bets, with a 67% win rate.
- They have a strong last-minute pattern: 29 near-resolution bets across 12 markets.
- They closed a larger Down position and flipped to buying Up 44 minutes before resolution.
$1,138 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial market trader
A heavily profitable serial cross-market trader bought Up on ETH after strong market momentum, though the individual bet size is modest.
- This bettor is up about $260K lifetime across more than 3,800 resolved trades.
- They have traded across 124 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Up at 70¢ while the market has moved strongly toward Up over the past day.
$1,067 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought ETH Up despite only a modest single-trade signal.
- This bettor has a long track record: 3,844 resolved trades and $259k in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $643k placed across 157 related markets.
- They bought Up at 70¢ while the market is now around 66¢, offering a better entry than the trader got.
$1,133 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Down, $17,336 (60% win rate)
- 0x06dc...4524 — Up, $15,139 (67% win rate)
- 0x1633...190c — Down, $10,000
- 0xb77b...70a5 — Up, $7,198 (100% win rate)
- 0x59fc...bcb4 — Up, $2,600 (100% win rate)
- 0x71a7...6fcf — Up, $1,731 (46% win rate)
- 0x56d5...10a6 — Down, $1,000
- 0xa64d...cad1 — Up, $632
- 0x0e55...5837 — Up, $556
- 0xa16a...33a1 — Up, $408 (99% win rate)
Related Theses
Ethereum dips but stays rangebound
Covers 3 related markets
