Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and Ecuador combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $64,499.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Elite bettor ahead of move

Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $745k profit bought Under before a sharp move from 67% to 80%.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $745k lifetime.
  • They bought Under at 67%, and the market has already moved to 80%.
  • This is part of a repeated cross-market sports pattern: 47 events, 73 markets, and 88% wins.

$9,188 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%

Elite bettor ahead of move

Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $745k profit bought Under before a sharp move from 67% to 80%.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $745k lifetime.
  • They bought Under at 67%, and the market has already moved to 80%.
  • This is part of a repeated cross-market sports pattern: 47 events, 73 markets, and 88% wins.

$7,600 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Under 3.5 before a major volume spike and price move from 73¢ to 80¢.

  • This bettor is up $537K lifetime across more than $15.7M traded.
  • They have bet across 676 events, suggesting a repeat sports strategy rather than a one-off punt.
  • Under has already moved from 73¢ to 80¢ amid a 74x volume spike.

$2,302 on Under | Wallet win rate: 55%

Serial sports trader chasing steam

Experienced cross-market sports trader bought Over amid a huge pre-event volume spike and a 25-point move toward Over.

  • This bettor has traded 36 events and won 74% of 154 resolved markets.
  • Over has jumped 25 points today while volume ran 266x above its historical average.
  • Entry at 40¢ implies a 2.5x payout if Mexico and Ecuador combine for 4+ goals.

$8,423 on Over | Wallet win rate: 74%

Serial sports trader chasing steam

Experienced cross-market sports trader bought Over amid a huge pre-event volume spike and a 25-point move toward Over.

  • This bettor has traded 36 events and won 74% of 154 resolved markets.
  • Over has jumped 25 points today while volume ran 266x above its historical average.
  • Entry at 40¢ implies a 2.5x payout if Mexico and Ecuador combine for 4+ goals.

$8,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 74%

Sharp bettor joins Under cluster

Strong Under flow is worth surfacing because a highly profitable 88% win-rate wallet joined a $22.9k one-sided cluster amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $745k bought $7.6k of Under.
  • Three wallets bought $22.9k of Under as pre-game volume ran 121x above normal.
  • The price has already moved from their 60–67¢ entries to 74¢, showing the market followed this flow.

$22,867 on Under

Four-wallet Over push

Four wallets coordinated on Over around 48–49¢ during a 38x pre-event volume spike, with one participant showing a 97% resolved-bet hit rate despite mixed lifetime P&L.

  • Four wallets are all effectively buying Over around 48–49¢ for $6.1K total.
  • The market has seen a 38x volume spike and Over is up 30 percentage points over the last day.
  • One wallet in the group has won 97% of 138 resolved positions, though its lifetime P&L is negative.

$6,119 on Over

Top Holders

  1. 0x3dfb...abaf Over, $188,888 (46% win rate)
  2. 0x204f...5e14 Under, $174,926 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x2c33...0563 Under, $88,178 (51% win rate)
  4. 0x0cc0...5765 Over, $73,401 (74% win rate)
  5. 0x02af...aaa9 Under, $25,980 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x84cf...2f63 Over, $18,009 (46% win rate)
  7. 0xe907...cff6 Over, $10,188 (46% win rate)
  8. 0x6157...9fb4 Over, $10,000 (92% win rate)
  9. 0x6754...e3bc Under, $8,400 (59% win rate)
  10. 0x3da8...80c3 Under, $7,525 (96% win rate)

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Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5

ResolvedMexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets$64,499 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Over
5¢
Under
96¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and Ecuador combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Ecuador
ECU
0
World Cup
Live
90'
Mexico
MEX
2
Polymarket: 5¢
Venue
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Price History — “Under
100¢
89¢
77¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5

22h ago

$9,188 on Under at 67¢

67¢96¢29¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5

22h ago

$7,600 on Under at 67¢

67¢96¢29¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5

22h ago

$2,302 on Under at 73¢

73¢96¢23¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5

22h ago

$8,423 on Over at 40¢

40¢5¢35¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5

22h ago

$8,000 on Over at 40¢

40¢5¢35¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5

22h ago

$22,867 on Under at 67¢

67¢96¢29¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5

22h ago

$6,119 on Over at 49¢

49¢5¢44¢

Related Theses