Part of: Porto 2: Michael Geerts vs Joao Domingues

Porto 2: Michael Geerts vs Joao Domingues

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Joao Domingues in the Porto 2, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Joao Domingues. This market will resolve to 'Joao Domingues' if Joao Domingues advances against Michael Geerts. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $66,244.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

83% winner fades Geerts

A highly profitable bettor with an 83% win rate made a substantial directional trade against Michael Geerts, equivalent to buying Joao Domingues.

This bettor has won 252 of 305 resolved positions and earned $847K in profit.
The $8,303 sale of Geerts at 39¢ is equivalent to buying Joao Domingues at 61¢.
They have traded across 287 events, with nearly $1.49M in cross-market activity.

$4,080 on Joao Domingues | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable high-volume trader backs Joao

A highly experienced, profitable trader made a fresh $4,356 bet on Joao Domingues amid a sharp price jump and an exceptional volume spike.

This trader has won 64% of 65,753 resolved bets and is up over $51 million.
They put $4,356 on Joao Domingues at 37¢, after previously holding a sizable position on Michael Geerts.
Joao's price jumped 25 percentage points in five minutes as market volume surged to 102 times its historical average.

$4,356 on Joao Domingues | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable bettor adds to $100K position

A highly profitable wallet added $42K to an existing $100K Geerts position during a sharp volume spike, though its 81% record only modestly exceeds its average winning odds and the entry is now underwater.

A bettor with $123K in lifetime profit added another $42K to an already large Geerts position.
The buys arrived during a 172× volume spike, but Geerts has since fallen from the 78–84¢ entries to 74¢.
The wallet has an 81% win rate across 27 resolved bets, though its 79¢ average winning price suggests only a modest edge over the odds paid.

$42,355 on Michael Geerts | Wallet win rate: 76%

83% winner fades Geerts

A highly profitable bettor with an 83% win rate made a substantial directional trade against Michael Geerts, equivalent to buying Joao Domingues.

This bettor has won 252 of 305 resolved positions and earned $847K in profit.
The $8,303 sale of Geerts at 39¢ is equivalent to buying Joao Domingues at 61¢.
They have traded across 287 events, with nearly $1.49M in cross-market activity.

$8,303 on Joao Domingues | Wallet win rate: 83%

Proven bettor in 15-wallet cluster

A highly experienced bettor with 1,111 resolved positions is adding to a Geerts position, alongside a 15-wallet shared-funder signal and serial cross-market activity.

This bettor has won 79% of 1,111 resolved bets and is up $82,636.
They added $1,400 on Michael Geerts at 63¢ while already holding a $2,222 position.
Fifteen wallets share a funder, and this trader has bet across 42 events.

$1,400 on Michael Geerts | Wallet win rate: 82%

Serial winner adds to Geerts position

A proven 85% winner is adding $5,750 to an existing Geerts position in a low-volume market.

This bettor has won 85% of 87 resolved bets and is up $145,342 lifetime.
They added $5,750 to an existing Geerts position in a market with only $919 in 24-hour volume.
The entry was 63¢, near the current 62% odds, with a tight 1¢ spread.

$5,750 on Michael Geerts | Wallet win rate: 86%