Part of: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $103,373.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
96% winner leads Vukic cluster
Nine wallets concentrated $35,565 on Vukic, including a serial trader with a 96% win rate and $1.17M profit, making this a strong coordinated-conviction signal despite the market now showing Vukic at 0%.
- Nine wallets committed $35,565 to Vukic, with most entries between 31¢ and 33¢.
- A leading wallet wins 96% of its 47 resolved bets and is up $1.17M lifetime.
- Another participant wins 77% of 159 bets, while the group’s key trader has positioned across 62 events.
$35,565 on Aleksandar Vukic
New wallet scaling into Musetti
A three-day-old profitable wallet placed a $1,529 Musetti buy at 68¢ that coincided with a 21-point price jump, though its limited track record and prior position reduce conviction.
- This three-day-old wallet is 3-for-3 and up $752 after only three resolved bets.
- The $1,529 Musetti purchase at 68¢ coincided with a roughly 21-point price increase.
- The wallet had already held and closed a Musetti position, so this appears to be renewed conviction rather than a first entry.
$1,529 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor backed Musetti early
A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate bought Musetti at 68%, preceding a move to near-certain pricing.
- This bettor wins 90% of 141 resolved trades and is up nearly $45,000.
- They bought Lorenzo Musetti at 68%, and the price subsequently rose to 100%.
- The $1,122 position followed a 21-percentage-point price move, reinforcing the directional signal.
$1,122 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 91%
96% winner bought before price surge
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate bought Musetti at 81¢ before the price rose to 100%, though the market has now resolved.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $195,295 lifetime.
- They bought $5,691 of Musetti at 81¢ before the outcome moved to 100%.
- The trade is no longer actionable because the market has effectively resolved.
$5,691 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 97%
96% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial historical edge made a fresh $3,956 underdog bet at 32%.
- This bettor has won 96% of 46 resolved positions and is up $1.14 million.
- The $3,956 purchase of Aleksandar Vukic at 32¢ represents a fresh, concentrated underdog position.
- The wallet has traded across 64 markets and 60 events, suggesting an experienced repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
$7,092 on Aleksandar Vukic | Wallet win rate: 96%
Serial tennis bettor ahead of sharp move
A serial cross-market trader with 476 resolved bets entered Musetti at 68%, while a 42.9x volume spike and subsequent move to 82% support the position.
- This bettor has won 75% of 476 resolved trades and is up $531,640 lifetime.
- They bought Musetti at 68%, with the market subsequently rising to 82%.
- Match volume spiked 42.9 times its historical average, adding support to the directional move.
$3,238 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 76%
Nine-wallet Musetti conviction cluster
Nine wallets committed $41,038 to Musetti at 68%, including a highly profitable 90%-win-rate bettor, while the market repriced to 84%.
- Nine wallets bought Musetti for $41,038 at 68%, creating a strong one-sided tennis signal.
- One participant has won 90% of 135 resolved bets with a 37-percentage-point edge over average odds.
- The market has since moved to 84% after a 106.8x volume spike, so the original entry is no longer available cheaply.
$41,038 on Lorenzo Musetti
96% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial historical edge made a fresh $3,956 underdog bet at 32%.
- This bettor has won 96% of 46 resolved positions and is up $1.14 million.
- The $3,956 purchase of Aleksandar Vukic at 32¢ represents a fresh, concentrated underdog position.
- The wallet has traded across 64 markets and 60 events, suggesting an experienced repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
$3,956 on Aleksandar Vukic | Wallet win rate: 96%
93% win-rate serial bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 93% record is adding $4,142 to Musetti at 70%, though the trade is only moderately compelling because the wallet’s average winning entry is 83%.
- This bettor has won 92 of 99 resolved trades and is up nearly $100,000 lifetime.
- They are adding $4,142 to Musetti at 70%, representing about 62% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has traded across 49 events and 56 markets, giving the position stronger context than an isolated large bet.
$4,142 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 13013251, $138,432 (96% win rate)
- 0xc463...9a2f — Outcome 13013251, $7,800 (55% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 13013251, $6,000 (81% win rate)
- 0x3fa2...cf15 — Outcome 13013251, $5,114 (81% win rate)
- 0x66b1...340f — Outcome 13013251, $2,950 (73% win rate)
- 0x50b9...4467 — Outcome 13013251, $2,600 (60% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 13013251, $2,249 (72% win rate)
- 0x51e1...5ec9 — Outcome 13013251, $2,000 (44% win rate)
- 0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 13013251, $1,890 (67% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 13013251, $1,878 (57% win rate)
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