Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,719.

Categories: SPX, Daily-Close, Up or Down, Daily, Indicies, Finance, Rewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1)

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer flips Up

Serial near-resolution trader with $173k lifetime profit flipped into a $6.1k Up position during a major pre-close volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $173k lifetime and has a pattern of placing near-resolution trades.
  • They bought $6.1k of Up about an hour before the close after closing a prior Down position.
  • Market volume spiked 348x versus its historical average, matching the late directional move.

$6,100 on Up | Wallet win rate: 50%

93% winner buying Down

Despite a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the buyer has a 93% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 217 resolved bets and is up about $8.9K lifetime.
  • They bought $1.6K of Down in a relatively quiet market with only about $6K traded in 24 hours.
  • Entry at 64¢ implies a focused view that SPX closes lower today.

$1,619 on Down | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf5bc...2c49 Outcome 80389645, $7,071 (43% win rate)
  2. 0x6614...86a4 Outcome 80389645, $6,469 (93% win rate)
  3. 0x94eb...f9fe Outcome 80389645, $5,225
  4. 0x7719...4c35 Outcome 80389645, $4,310
  5. 0xebe6...9278 Outcome 80389645, $2,375
  6. 0x4ecb...514c Outcome 80389645, $2,000 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x9d45...b661 Outcome 80389645, $1,055
  8. 0xe76a...5cb4 Outcome 80389645, $1,000
  9. 0x86e9...4cdf Outcome 80389645, $838 (97% win rate)
  10. 0x06e1...d431 Outcome 80389645, $500

Related Theses

NVIDIA reaches 240 not 248

Covers 5 related markets

Palantir rallies to $150

Covers 4 related markets

Apple closes between $310 and $315

Covers 2 related markets

Apple peaks below 304

Covers 2 related markets

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?

ResolvedS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?$7,719 tracked2 signalsSPXDaily-CloseUp or DownDailyIndiciesFinanceHide From NewRewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1)

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, June 2, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, June 2, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?

6d ago

$6,100 on Up at 88¢

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?

6d ago

$1,619 on Down at 64¢

Related Theses