Part of: CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?

This prediction market asks whether Club Atlético de Madrid will win its scheduled La Liga match on May 12, 2026, based only on the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It resolves Yes if Atlético Madrid wins, and No for any draw, loss, or full cancellation with no make-up game. PolySpotter is tracking $3,052 in smart money across 2 signals, with recent sharp activity noted around the No side.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 12, 2026 If Club Atlético de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,764.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Sharp sports/cross-market bettor with a 77% record and strong lifetime profit bought Atlético Madrid Yes at 36¢.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $105k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 56 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
  • Entry at 36¢ implies they see Atlético Madrid as underpriced versus the market.

$1,680 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Elite 87% sports sharp

Elite proven sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.2M profit is buying Atlético Madrid not to win, backed by extensive serial cross-market history.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $2.2M lifetime.
  • They have traded 721 markets across 593 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought No at 64¢, betting Atlético Madrid fails to win in regular time.

$1,372 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp sports whale

Proven sharp sports bettor with a 78% win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit is buying Atlético Madrid Yes at 37¢.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $1.81M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 401 events, showing a long, profitable sports track record.
  • Entry at 37¢ implies they see Atlético Madrid as underpriced despite a liquid market.

$1,166 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $3.15M lifetime P&L is buying No on Atlético despite only a moderate standalone signal.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 13,412 resolved bets, 65% wins, and $3.15M lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 342 events and over $2.0M in flagged cross-market volume.
  • Entry at 64¢ suggests they are backing Atlético not to win at a still-copyable price.

$1,656 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%

87% winner joins No cluster

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 87% win rate joined two other wallets buying No at 64¢ on Atlético Madrid, making this a credible copy-trade despite modest size in a liquid market.

  • Lead wallet wins 87% of resolved bets and is up about $2.2M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same No outcome at 64¢ within 10 minutes.
  • This bettor is a serial sports trader across 720 markets with strong results.

$4,379 on No

Repeat new-wallet bettor

A repeat-flagged new wallet is continuing to size into Atlético Madrid Yes, with $8.1k total flagged and early profit, making this a plausible conviction sports bet despite limited resolved history.

  • This new wallet has now been flagged 4 times, with $8.1k in notable bets.
  • The wallet is already up $1.3k on its first resolved bet, though the track record is still very small.
  • A $2.6k buy at 35¢ backs Atlético Madrid at roughly a 2.9x payout if they win.

$2,628 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

18-0 serial bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 18-0 resolved record and +$78k P&L bought nearly $10k of Atlético Madrid Yes at 35¢.

  • This bettor is 18-0 on resolved bets and up $78k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 35 events with a perfect resolved record so far.
  • A $9.9k buy at 35¢ implies they see Atlético Madrid as meaningfully underpriced.

$9,884 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5d0c...bceb No, $33,861 (51% win rate)
  2. 0xc788...8545 Yes, $28,208 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x5351...9b3c No, $25,000 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x48fe...b2b6 Yes, $24,839 (59% win rate)
  5. 0x84cf...2f63 Yes, $23,680 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x62ca...1760 No, $22,369 (96% win rate)
  7. 0xe5f0...dc1d Yes, $17,000 (24% win rate)
  8. 0x0346...52a5 Yes, $10,900 (52% win rate)
  9. 0x160b...4296 No, $8,023 (74% win rate)
  10. 0x4379...2e16 No, $7,708 (69% win rate)

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Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?

ResolvedCA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid$22,764 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga
Yes
37¢
No
64¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 12, 2026 If Club Atlético de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
68¢
65¢
61¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?

8h ago

$1,680 on Yes at 36¢

36¢37¢1¢

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?

8h ago

$1,372 on No at 64¢

64¢64¢

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?

8h ago

$1,166 on Yes at 37¢

37¢37¢

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?

9h ago

$1,656 on No at 64¢

64¢64¢

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?

8h ago

$4,379 on No at 64¢

64¢64¢

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?

22h ago

$2,628 on Yes at 35¢

35¢37¢2¢

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?

1d ago

$9,884 on Yes at 35¢

35¢37¢2¢

Related Theses