Part of: CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $120,889.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Million-dollar sharp flips No

A highly profitable 76% lifetime bettor is selling down a large prior Yes position while broader one-sided flow and volume spike favor No on Atlético Madrid.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $1.16M lifetime across 977 markets.
They are exiting a large Yes position after buying around 44¢, effectively favoring No at 39¢ now.
Five wallets have bought No in the same window, totaling $27.9K amid a 16x volume spike.

$2,627 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

88% sharp fading favorite

Proven sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $695k lifetime profit is taking the contrarian No side amid a major pre-game volume surge.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $695k lifetime.
They are a serial sports market trader across 135 events with $1.2M in tracked volume.
The market has seen a 17.7x volume spike and Yes has jumped 26%, but this sharp is buying No at 40¢.

$2,323 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%

94% winner joins Yes flow

Elite 94% winning soccer bettor is buying Atlético Madrid amid strong one-sided flow, a large volume spike, and sharp positive price momentum.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $386K lifetime.
Seven wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $65.6K on Yes.
The market has surged 22 points in a day with an 84x volume spike before the match.

$3,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp bettor fades rally

A proven profitable soccer bettor and three other wallets are collectively fading Atlético at 39¢, though the sharp wallet’s sell may partly be profit-taking from a prior Yes position.

A bettor who wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $1.16M sold Yes, equivalent to buying No at 39¢.
Four wallets put $7.0k on the same No side after Atlético’s Yes price jumped 26 points today.
Caveat: the sharp wallet previously held a large Yes position, so part of this may be profit-taking rather than a full reversal.

$7,039 on No

Profitable sharp fading Yes

A highly profitable 76% lifetime bettor is effectively buying No alongside an 8-wallet one-sided No cluster despite heavy market volume and a sharp Yes price move.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.13M lifetime.
They are effectively buying No at 46¢ on a $10.7K trade.
8 wallets have all bet No in the same window, totaling $128K of one-sided flow.

$10,724 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Elite winner joins No cluster

Sharp 94% winner is buying No alongside a 9-wallet one-sided move and a major pre-event volume spike, despite heavy liquidity.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up about $964K lifetime.
Nine wallets are all buying No, totaling $68K on the same side.
No has moved sharply with an 85x volume spike, suggesting strong momentum against Atlético winning.

$1,932 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

94% winner joins No flow

Sharp 94% win-rate wallet bought No alongside a 9-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-match volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $104K lifetime.
Nine wallets bought the same No side for $68K total, suggesting coordinated conviction.
Volume is up 85x versus normal, with a sharp price move around the game.

$4,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Live-match momentum cluster

Three wallets bought Atlético Yes around 65–67¢ just before a rapid move to 96¢, but the edge is mostly gone at current prices.

Three wallets bought the same side within about a minute, totaling $6.9K at 65–67¢.
The market jumped 26.5 percentage points in under 4 minutes after their buys.
Current price is already 96¢, so this was sharp timing but only attractive near their entry.

$6,871 on Yes

Elite last-minute sports sharp

Elite profitable sports bettor bought No seconds before resolution, with a huge long-term record and serial cross-market activity supporting a real-time edge.

This bettor has a massive track record: 74% wins across 2,533 resolved bets and about $1.2M profit.
They bought No just 17 seconds before resolution, a timing pattern that can matter in live sports markets.
This wallet is a serial sports trader across 33 events and 40 markets, with $169K in recent cross-market activity.

$1,745 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Surfaced despite a modest signal because this is a profitable serial cross-market bettor with a long 210-market track record buying Atlético Madrid Yes at 37¢.

This bettor has a long track record: 58% wins over 210 resolved markets and $74.6K profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 77 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
Entry at 37¢ gives a clear underdog-style upside if their read on Atlético Madrid is right.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Top Holders

0x37e0...024e — Outcome 60900092, $29,572 (71% win rate)
0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 60900092, $23,636 (53% win rate)
0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 60900092, $23,494 (95% win rate)
0xc6b1...78fd — Outcome 60900092, $22,880 (94% win rate)
0x160b...4296 — Outcome 60900092, $10,749 (76% win rate)
0x29cc...3c29 — Outcome 60900092, $5,940 (95% win rate)
0x7d2f...ef1a — Outcome 60900092, $5,665 (56% win rate)
0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 60900092, $5,503 (97% win rate)
0x80b4...a52e — Outcome 60900092, $5,424 (63% win rate)
0x9d94...017d — Outcome 60900092, $4,768

Related Theses

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Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?

ResolvedCA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid$120,889 tracked19 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 12, 2026 If Club Atlético de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.