Part of: Australia vs. Türkiye
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 14, 2026 If Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
44 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,519,004.
Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Türkiye Yes despite a sharp recent price drop, creating a potentially cheaper follow entry than their 21¢ fill.
- This bettor has won 71% of 198 resolved bets and is up about $1.7M lifetime.
- They are a major serial trader across 348 events, with about $5.5M previously invested.
- They bought Yes at 21¢, while the market has since fallen to 16¢, giving followers a cheaper entry if their edge holds.
$15,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp cluster buying dip
Five wallets are buying Türkiye Yes after a sharp price drop, led by a proven 85% winner with positive P&L and a serial cross-market track record.
- A bettor who wins 85% of resolved trades is buying Yes and is up $73K lifetime.
- Five wallets put $11.5K on the same side at 21–22¢, including one No sale that is equivalent to buying Yes.
- The market just moved hard against Yes, so this looks like a sharp group buying the dip at long odds.
$11,525 on Yes
Profitable new wallet joins No cluster
High-scoring No-side alert driven by a profitable repeat new wallet, a large 4-wallet one-sided cluster, and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This new wallet has won its first 5 resolved bets and is up about $12k so far.
- Four wallets are all taking the No side, totaling about $375k in same-direction flow.
- They sold Yes at 56¢, effectively backing No at 44¢ before a major volume spike.
$4,102 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
85% winner buying dip
Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate is buying Türkiye Yes alongside 9-wallet same-side flow despite a sharp price drop.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $73k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 33 events with the same 85% win rate.
- Nine wallets bought the same Yes side for $21.6k after the price fell about 29 points.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
11-wallet No surge
A 9-hour-old repeat large bettor joined an 11-wallet, $213k one-sided move buying No, backed by a major pre-event volume spike.
- 11 wallets are all betting Türkiye not to win, totaling $213k on the same side.
- This 9-hour-old wallet has already been flagged 24 times with $65k in large bets.
- Selling Yes at 58¢ is the same as buying No at 42¢, while the market now shows No around 44¢.
$3,048 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%
Sharp wallet joins No cluster
Sharp 88% lifetime wallet joined broader one-sided No flow with 9 wallets and a 25-point move against Yes, though this specific trade also closed an existing Yes position.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $165K lifetime.
- Nine wallets are all positioned the same way, totaling $42K on No-side flow.
- The market moved sharply against Yes, with a 25-point drop flagged around the activity.
$1,902 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial trader buying No
Profitable serial sports trader joined one-sided No flow alongside a 5-wallet cluster, volume spike, and rapid price move.
- This bettor has a long track record: 842 resolved bets, 64% wins, and about $340K profit.
- Five wallets bought the same No side for $42K, with No moving up 25 points in 5 minutes.
- The trade entered at 44¢, while the market is already around 46¢, suggesting early momentum behind the No side.
$1,403 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp bettor joins No cluster
A highly profitable 77% lifetime bettor sold Türkiye Yes, aligning with 11-wallet one-sided No flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1.39M lifetime.
- 11 wallets have all bet the same way, totaling $213K on No.
- Selling Yes at 54¢ is equivalent to buying No at 46¢, and No is currently around 44¢.
$23,340 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp bettor joins No wave
Sharp profitable sports bettor joined a large one-sided move against Türkiye alongside 10 other wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $43K lifetime.
- 11 wallets bought the same side, putting $213K on No in this market.
- Market volume spiked 60x versus its normal pace, supporting a broader move.
$1,700 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
11-wallet No surge
A 9-hour-old repeat large bettor joined an 11-wallet, $213k one-sided move buying No, backed by a major pre-event volume spike.
- 11 wallets are all betting Türkiye not to win, totaling $213k on the same side.
- This 9-hour-old wallet has already been flagged 24 times with $65k in large bets.
- Selling Yes at 58¢ is the same as buying No at 42¢, while the market now shows No around 44¢.
$5,396 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%
Top Holders
- 0x99ae...386f — No, $8,550,742
- 0x0a55...f9be — Yes, $1,053,239 (100% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — Yes, $922,751 (89% win rate)
- 0x2d7b...e2ce — Yes, $752,201 (77% win rate)
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Yes, $739,252 (64% win rate)
- 0x709e...66f5 — Yes, $662,751 (63% win rate)
- 0x9f2f...2ca8 — Yes, $500,000 (52% win rate)
- 0xcfb6...06da — No, $400,439 (100% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Yes, $333,070 (62% win rate)
- 0x5966...f804 — Yes, $302,459 (93% win rate)
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