Part of: Australia vs. Türkiye
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
47 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,547,243.
Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer
Notable Trades
15-wallet funded cluster
A 15-wallet funded cluster is buying Türkiye Yes, led by a very active bettor with $1.34M lifetime profit.
- 15 wallets funded by the same source have put $10.8k into this side of the market.
- The active wallet is up $1.34M lifetime across 77,870 resolved trades.
- They are buying Yes at 56¢, suggesting confidence Türkiye is underpriced around current odds.
$2,252 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%
New profitable No bettor
A very new repeat bettor with a perfect short record bought No during a sharp market move against Türkiye, supported by a large volume spike and rapid price impact.
- This 3-day-old bettor is 9-for-9 so far and up $551 across $9,405 invested.
- They bought $1,600 of No at 90¢ as the market rapidly moved against Türkiye.
- Market volume spiked 13.8x, suggesting the move has broader momentum behind it.
$1,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Coordinated NO surge
High composite alert driven by coordinated No buying across 7 wallets, rapid price impact, and a 10x volume spike despite this individual wallet lacking a strong historical edge.
- Seven wallets bought the same side, putting $27K total on No.
- This wallet added $11.9K as No jumped sharply from 68¢ to 87¢ within minutes.
- Market volume is running about 10x above normal, supporting the one-sided move.
$11,888 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Türkiye Yes despite a sharp recent price drop, creating a potentially cheaper follow entry than their 21¢ fill.
- This bettor has won 71% of 198 resolved bets and is up about $1.7M lifetime.
- They are a major serial trader across 348 events, with about $5.5M previously invested.
- They bought Yes at 21¢, while the market has since fallen to 16¢, giving followers a cheaper entry if their edge holds.
$15,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp cluster buying dip
Five wallets are buying Türkiye Yes after a sharp price drop, led by a proven 85% winner with positive P&L and a serial cross-market track record.
- A bettor who wins 85% of resolved trades is buying Yes and is up $73K lifetime.
- Five wallets put $11.5K on the same side at 21–22¢, including one No sale that is equivalent to buying Yes.
- The market just moved hard against Yes, so this looks like a sharp group buying the dip at long odds.
$11,525 on Yes
Profitable new wallet joins No cluster
High-scoring No-side alert driven by a profitable repeat new wallet, a large 4-wallet one-sided cluster, and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This new wallet has won its first 5 resolved bets and is up about $12k so far.
- Four wallets are all taking the No side, totaling about $375k in same-direction flow.
- They sold Yes at 56¢, effectively backing No at 44¢ before a major volume spike.
$4,102 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
85% winner buying dip
Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate is buying Türkiye Yes alongside 9-wallet same-side flow despite a sharp price drop.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $73k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 33 events with the same 85% win rate.
- Nine wallets bought the same Yes side for $21.6k after the price fell about 29 points.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
11-wallet No surge
A 9-hour-old repeat large bettor joined an 11-wallet, $213k one-sided move buying No, backed by a major pre-event volume spike.
- 11 wallets are all betting Türkiye not to win, totaling $213k on the same side.
- This 9-hour-old wallet has already been flagged 24 times with $65k in large bets.
- Selling Yes at 58¢ is the same as buying No at 42¢, while the market now shows No around 44¢.
$3,048 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%
Sharp wallet joins No cluster
Sharp 88% lifetime wallet joined broader one-sided No flow with 9 wallets and a 25-point move against Yes, though this specific trade also closed an existing Yes position.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $165K lifetime.
- Nine wallets are all positioned the same way, totaling $42K on No-side flow.
- The market moved sharply against Yes, with a 25-point drop flagged around the activity.
$1,902 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial trader buying No
Profitable serial sports trader joined one-sided No flow alongside a 5-wallet cluster, volume spike, and rapid price move.
- This bettor has a long track record: 842 resolved bets, 64% wins, and about $340K profit.
- Five wallets bought the same No side for $42K, with No moving up 25 points in 5 minutes.
- The trade entered at 44¢, while the market is already around 46¢, suggesting early momentum behind the No side.
$1,403 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x99ae...386f — Outcome 32181580, $8,550,742
- 0x0a55...f9be — Outcome 75303319, $1,053,239 (100% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 75303319, $922,751 (89% win rate)
- 0x2d7b...e2ce — Outcome 75303319, $752,201 (77% win rate)
- 0x709e...66f5 — Outcome 75303319, $662,751 (63% win rate)
- 0x9f2f...2ca8 — Outcome 75303319, $500,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x611a...c189 — Outcome 75303319, $332,248
- 0x5966...f804 — Outcome 75303319, $302,459 (93% win rate)
- 0x8428...9210 — Outcome 75303319, $217,863
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 75303319, $182,438 (71% win rate)
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