Part of: Germany vs. Paraguay
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $83,643.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Paraguay No at 83¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike, and the position has already moved to 100¢.
- This bettor is up $2.7M lifetime across more than 2,200 resolved markets.
- They have traded 169 related events and win 65% of resolved bets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought No at 83¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
$1,326 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial event trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader put $16.6k on No at 83¢ amid a major event-volume spike, and the position has already moved to 100¢.
- This bettor is up $4.19M lifetime across a very large sample of resolved trades.
- They put $16.6k on No at 83¢ while also trading across 3 markets in the same event.
- Market volume spiked 280x versus normal activity, and No has since moved to 100¢.
$16,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial sports trader
Sharp serial cross-market sports trader bought $11.2k of No at 83¢ and the market quickly moved to 100¢, backed by a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 72% of 3,701 resolved bets and is up $181k lifetime.
- They have traded across 110 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought $11.2k of No at 83¢ during a 280x volume spike, and the market has since moved to 100¢.
$11,161 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Sharp cluster buying longshot
Seven wallets bought the Paraguay Yes side for nearly $40k, including multiple profitable high-win-rate cross-market sports traders, though the market has since moved sharply against the early 28–32¢ entries.
- Seven wallets put $39.8k on the same side, with several entries effectively buying Paraguay Yes around 28–32¢.
- Two proven cross-market traders stand out: one wins 93% of resolved bets, another wins 85% and is up $74.9k lifetime.
- Price has since fallen to about 6¢, so the current market offers a much cheaper entry than most of the cluster paid.
$39,836 on Yes
Proven bettor buying longshot
Sharp sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Paraguay Yes at 9¢ despite the market pricing it as a longshot.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $14.6K lifetime.
- They bought Paraguay at 9¢, implying a longshot with about 11x payout if right.
- The edge signal is based on 86 resolved bets, not just a small sample.
$2,085 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Perfect-record bettor backs favorite
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: the bettor is 26-0 on resolved markets with positive lifetime P&L and made a $12.6k buy that dominates the market's daily volume.
- This bettor has won 26 of 26 resolved bets and is up $20.2k lifetime.
- The $12.6k buy made up 85% of this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction.
- Entry at 90¢ is a low-upside favorite bet, but the wallet’s perfect record makes it worth tracking.
$12,635 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 79199945, $5,396,122
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 11288434, $1,241,997 (91% win rate)
- 0x44c5...8d45 — Outcome 11288434, $212,160 (78% win rate)
- 0x7b7f...a394 — Outcome 11288434, $204,310
- 0x4433...9d34 — Outcome 11288434, $189,649 (81% win rate)
- 0x6bf6...d283 — Outcome 11288434, $100,022
- 0x25ed...369b — Outcome 11288434, $100,000
- 0xdbe0...00ab — Outcome 11288434, $90,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xcde3...534d — Outcome 11288434, $63,765
- 0x05c7...f3e8 — Outcome 11288434, $51,000
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