Part of: Germany vs. Paraguay
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 29, 2026 If Paraguay wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $83,643.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Paraguay No at 83¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike, and the position has already moved to 100¢.
- This bettor is up $2.7M lifetime across more than 2,200 resolved markets.
- They have traded 169 related events and win 65% of resolved bets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought No at 83¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
$1,326 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial event trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader put $16.6k on No at 83¢ amid a major event-volume spike, and the position has already moved to 100¢.
- This bettor is up $4.19M lifetime across a very large sample of resolved trades.
- They put $16.6k on No at 83¢ while also trading across 3 markets in the same event.
- Market volume spiked 280x versus normal activity, and No has since moved to 100¢.
$16,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial sports trader
Sharp serial cross-market sports trader bought $11.2k of No at 83¢ and the market quickly moved to 100¢, backed by a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 72% of 3,701 resolved bets and is up $181k lifetime.
- They have traded across 110 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought $11.2k of No at 83¢ during a 280x volume spike, and the market has since moved to 100¢.
$11,161 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Sharp cluster buying longshot
Seven wallets bought the Paraguay Yes side for nearly $40k, including multiple profitable high-win-rate cross-market sports traders, though the market has since moved sharply against the early 28–32¢ entries.
- Seven wallets put $39.8k on the same side, with several entries effectively buying Paraguay Yes around 28–32¢.
- Two proven cross-market traders stand out: one wins 93% of resolved bets, another wins 85% and is up $74.9k lifetime.
- Price has since fallen to about 6¢, so the current market offers a much cheaper entry than most of the cluster paid.
$39,836 on Yes
Proven bettor buying longshot
Sharp sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Paraguay Yes at 9¢ despite the market pricing it as a longshot.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $14.6K lifetime.
- They bought Paraguay at 9¢, implying a longshot with about 11x payout if right.
- The edge signal is based on 86 resolved bets, not just a small sample.
$2,085 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Perfect-record bettor backs favorite
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: the bettor is 26-0 on resolved markets with positive lifetime P&L and made a $12.6k buy that dominates the market's daily volume.
- This bettor has won 26 of 26 resolved bets and is up $20.2k lifetime.
- The $12.6k buy made up 85% of this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction.
- Entry at 90¢ is a low-upside favorite bet, but the wallet’s perfect record makes it worth tracking.
$12,635 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $5,396,122
- 0xf031...c80c — Yes, $1,241,997 (89% win rate)
- 0x44c5...8d45 — Yes, $212,160 (78% win rate)
- 0x7b7f...a394 — Yes, $204,310
- 0x4433...9d34 — Yes, $189,649 (78% win rate)
- 0x6bf6...d283 — Yes, $100,022 (64% win rate)
- 0x25ed...369b — Yes, $100,000
- 0xcde3...534d — Yes, $63,765
- 0x05c7...f3e8 — Yes, $51,000
- 0x5718...d232 — Yes, $50,000
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