Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov
This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match between Casper Ruud and Karen Khachanov, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final settlement expected by May 20, 2026 if a winner is determined within the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $11,540 in smart money across 3 signals, including alerts noting underdog backing and activity from profitable tennis-focused traders.
This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Karen Khachanov in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Karen Khachanov. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Casper Ruud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $193,060.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
87% sharp flipped sides
Sharp wallet with an 87% resolved win rate and +$50k P&L flipped into Casper Ruud before a major price move from ~65% to 92%.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $50k lifetime.
- They bought $4.7k of Casper Ruud around 65¢ before the market jumped to 92¢.
- The wallet had previously closed a Khachanov position, suggesting a decisive flip rather than routine adding.
$4,700 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable serial sports whale
Very high-volume serial cross-market trader with $2.3M lifetime profit bought Ruud before a 26-point move amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $2.3M lifetime across more than $181M in wagers.
- They bought Ruud at 79¢ before the market jumped to 92¢.
- Market activity spiked 29x normal volume with Ruud moving up 26 points.
$5,792 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 55%
Sharp 9-wallet Ruud surge
A 9-wallet cluster put about $50k on Casper Ruud before a sharp move from the mid-60s/70s to 92%, including two profitable high-win-rate bettors.
- Nine wallets bought about $50k of Casper Ruud at 64–77¢ before the market jumped to 92¢.
- Two buyers have strong records: one wins 87% of bets and is up $50k, while another wins 79% and is up $141k.
- Volume spiked 16x, showing this was part of a broader pre-match move rather than one isolated bet.
$50,005 on Casper Ruud
91% winner backing underdog
Sharp tennis bettor with a 91% resolved win rate is buying Khachanov despite Ruud being the market favorite, with supporting pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 30 of 33 resolved trades and is up $16,085 lifetime.
- They are buying Khachanov at 35¢, taking the underdog side against the current 66% favorite.
- Market volume is running 15.5x above its historical average, suggesting fresh pre-match attention.
$2,867 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp serial trader buying dip
Sharp serial sports trader with a 79% win rate and +$141k P&L bought $6.5k of Casper Ruud amid a volume spike and sharp price drop.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $141k lifetime.
- They have traded across 98 events with over $1.1M deployed, suggesting a proven sports edge.
- They bought $6.5k of Casper Ruud after a 17-point price drop, entering around 67¢.
$6,519 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 79%
14-wallet funded cluster
A 14-wallet funded cluster is taking the Khachanov underdog side at 10¢ in a liquid tennis market, with this wallet showing meaningful lifetime profit.
- 14 wallets funded by the same source have been betting this market across runs, signaling coordinated conviction.
- This wallet is up $132K lifetime on $775K invested across 35 resolved bets.
- The bet buys Karen Khachanov at 10¢, a long-shot entry with large upside if the cluster is right.
$2,154 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial trader flips underdog
Serial cross-market bettor with a huge profitable history is taking a fresh underdog position on Khachanov at 8¢ after closing a Ruud position.
- This bettor is up $8.2M lifetime across more than 5,000 resolved markets.
- They have traded 1,568 related events and win 73% of resolved bets.
- They closed a Ruud position and bought Khachanov at 8¢, suggesting a fresh view on the underdog.
$1,740 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 73%
New sharp buying underdog
A repeatedly flagged new wallet with strong early results bought the 6% underdog during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This newer bettor is 7-for-9 on resolved bets and up $24.6K so far.
- They bought the 6¢ underdog, implying a high-upside view against the 94% favorite.
- Market volume is surging 68x above normal ahead of the match.
$1,131 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 78%
89% sports sharp buying
A highly proven serial cross-market sports bettor with an 89% win rate bought Casper Ruud before the price moved from 89% to 94%, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $146,624 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 341 resolved bets and over $2.9M invested.
- Bought Casper Ruud at 89¢ before the market moved to 94¢, with volume running 92x above normal.
$2,670 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 89%
78% winner caught move
Proven high-volume tennis/sports trader bought Casper Ruud at 89% ahead of a sharp market move to 94%, with a major pre-event volume spike corroborating the position.
- This bettor has won 78% of 500 resolved trades and is up $80.9k lifetime.
- They bought Casper Ruud at 89¢ before the market moved to 94¢.
- Market activity spiked 92x normal volume, suggesting broader momentum behind the same side.
$6,005 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x5234...4c4f — Karen Khachanov, $92,323 (60% win rate)
- 0x88d1...18da — Casper Ruud, $63,061 (69% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Karen Khachanov, $61,006 (80% win rate)
- 0x996a...e3cc — Casper Ruud, $58,589 (100% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Casper Ruud, $53,893 (64% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Karen Khachanov, $51,322 (73% win rate)
- 0xc5dc...7cf2 — Casper Ruud, $35,555 (92% win rate)
- 0xf56b...ac88 — Karen Khachanov, $31,515 (50% win rate)
- 0xa3f8...4682 — Karen Khachanov, $30,839 (78% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Karen Khachanov, $30,352 (53% win rate)
