Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,165.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Four-wallet Aurora conviction surge

Four wallets committed $10.7K to Aurora, including a highly profitable large-volume bettor, while the market surged from roughly 40% to 70%.

Four wallets put $10,743 behind Aurora Gaming, with the trades concentrated around 37–41¢.
Market activity ran at 28.6 times its recent average, and Aurora’s price subsequently climbed to about 70%.
One participating bettor is up over $10 million lifetime, though the group’s broader win rates are mixed and the market has already moved sharply.

$11,080 on Aurora Gaming

Sharp bettor backs Vitality

A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 78% win rate and $431,000 profit added $6,320 to Vitality despite the market pricing them near 30%.

This bettor wins 78% of 185 resolved trades and is up $431,000 lifetime.
They added $6,320 to Vitality across two buys, continuing an existing $28,824 position despite the market moving sharply against them.
The market saw a 28.6x–69.5x volume spike, suggesting this is a notable pre-event positioning signal rather than a routine small trade.

$6,321 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 78%

Sharp bettor takes contrarian Vitality position

A highly experienced, profitable bettor with a 76% win rate made a sizable contrarian Vitality bet amid an exceptional volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.

This bettor has won 76% of 874 resolved trades and is up $224,081 lifetime.
They paid 80¢ for Vitality, a concentrated $1,700 position, despite the market now pricing Vitality near 30%.
Trading activity was 28.6 times the normal 24-hour volume, adding weight to the unusual position.

$1,700 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 76%

Seven-wallet Vitality conviction cluster

Seven wallets committed $32,065 to Vitality amid an extreme volume spike and price jump, including multiple bettors with strong profitable track records.

Seven wallets bought Vitality for $32,065, driving the price from roughly 64% entry levels to 80%.
The cluster includes a bettor with an 87% win rate and another with 95% wins across 20 resolved positions.
Trading volume was 180x the recent average, adding strong event-driven confirmation to the one-sided flow.

$32,065 on Vitality

Top Holders

0x1e52...eb43 — Outcome 35437027, $28,824 (78% win rate)
0xed44...4f76 — Outcome 35437027, $19,918 (62% win rate)
0x74b7...8b0b — Outcome 35437027, $16,294 (87% win rate)
0x5e76...15de — Outcome 35437027, $13,451 (80% win rate)
0x85fb...89ba — Outcome 35437027, $5,000 (87% win rate)
0x56c9...0d9e — Outcome 35437027, $3,552 (92% win rate)
0xb9b2...8e7d — Outcome 35437027, $3,000 (55% win rate)
0xaa6c...a9b3 — Outcome 35437027, $2,118 (76% win rate)
0xe6d4...d0c3 — Outcome 35437027, $2,100 (95% win rate)
0x33bc...37dc — Outcome 35437027, $2,000 (62% win rate)

Related Theses

Legacy wins series despite Map 2

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs$51,165 tracked4 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between Aurora Gaming and Vitality in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.