What does the Bitcoin $78,000 dip market predict?

It predicts whether BTC/USDT on Binance will print a one-minute candle low of $78,000 or lower at any point on May 16, from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM ET.

How does this Polymarket Bitcoin market resolve?

The market resolves to “Yes” if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle on May 16 has a final Low price equal to or below $78,000. If no candle meets that level, it resolves to “No.”

What price source is used for settlement?

Settlement is based on Binance BTC/USDT Low prices using the 1-minute chart. Other exchanges or Bitcoin indexes do not determine the outcome.

When does the market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve after the May 16 trading window ends, with the listed resolution time on May 17, 2026 at 04:00 UTC.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,861 in smart money tied to this market, including 1 recent signal from a profitable crypto regular.

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit on May 16?

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 16?

This Polymarket market asks whether Bitcoin will dip to $78,000 or lower on May 16, based on Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle lows between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM ET. It resolves “Yes” if any qualifying candle records a low at or below $78,000; otherwise it resolves “No” after the trading day. PolySpotter is tracking $1,861 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,861.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Daily, Today 🚀, Hit Price

Notable Trades

Profitable crypto regular

Profitable high-volume crypto trader bought No at 36¢ and the market has already moved to 42¢, suggesting the position was timed well despite only moderate alert strength.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,906 resolved bets and about $400K in lifetime profit.
They bought No at 36¢, and the market has already moved to 42¢ in their favor.
This is a meaningful position in a relatively small market, about 26% of the day’s volume.

$1,861 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%