Part of: New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC

Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-16?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,797.

Notable Trades

Serial cross-market bettor

A highly active serial cross-market bettor with 1,693 resolved bets and positive lifetime P&L is effectively buying No on New York Red Bulls to win.

This bettor has a deep track record: 1,693 resolved bets, 71% wins, and $9.5K lifetime profit.
They regularly trade across related sports markets, with 42 events and $80.7K in flagged cross-market activity.
Selling Yes at 37¢ is equivalent to buying No at 63¢, backing Red Bulls not to win in regulation.

$1,301 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable bettors clustered on Yes

Three profitable soccer bettors bought the same side, including one 76% winner with $31k profit, making this a copy-worthy cluster despite only moderate trade size.

One bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $31k lifetime.
Three wallets all bought Yes, totaling $5.2k on the Red Bulls win side.
Entry around 40¢ implies they see better value than the current 38¢ market price.

$5,235 on Yes

Profitable sharp exits YES

Sharp profitable wallet with 827 resolved bets sold its Red Bulls Yes position, implying a move toward No despite the weak standalone signal.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $31,383 lifetime.
They sold Red Bulls Yes at 38¢ after previously entering around 41¢, signaling they no longer like that side.
The equivalent copy is buying No at 62¢ in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread.

$1,262 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

0xdf80...3259 — Outcome 54496844, $4,674 (73% win rate)
0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 54496844, $402 (77% win rate)
0x0178...3f7a — Outcome 54496844, $400 (93% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 73502613, $222
0x2c46...dac9 — Outcome 54496844, $139
0x635b...1013 — Outcome 54496844, $128
0xe84c...5269 — Outcome 54496844, $85 (14% win rate)
0x6b23...04a3 — Outcome 54496844, $76 (71% win rate)
0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 54496844, $50
0x81c1...54f5 — Outcome 54496844, $47

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Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-16?

ResolvedNew York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC$7,797 tracked3 signalsMLSGamesSoccerSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If New York Red Bulls wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.