Part of: Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $58,964.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

90% win-rate sports bettor

A proven high-win-rate sports trader with a large cross-market track record bought Under before the price moved sharply in their favor, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades with nearly $78k profit across more than 1,000 bets.
  • They have a repeat pattern across 45 events and bought Under at 69¢ before it moved to 76¢.
  • The move came in a liquid market, which makes the price follow-through more meaningful than a random thin-market punt.

$1,420 on Under | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable new wallet buys Over

A very active new wallet with a perfect early record and over $312k profit just bought Over after a huge pre-match volume spike, making this a credible conviction signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This 24-day-old wallet is up $312,953 and has won all 6 of its resolved bets so far.
  • It has already triggered 116 large-bet alerts for $1.12M total, so this looks like a repeat high-conviction bettor rather than a one-off.
  • The market saw a 66x volume spike before kickoff, and this buy came in at 33¢ after a sharp recent selloff.

$1,172 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

4-wallet Under cluster

Four wallets coordinated into Under with $18.2k during a massive pre-match volume spike, and one of the buyers is a serial cross-market bettor with a 90% win rate.

  • Four wallets piled into Under for $18.2k in a tight window, a strong one-sided signal on this match.
  • One buyer wins 90% of their bets across 1,022 resolved markets and has been active across 44 events.
  • The market saw a 66x volume spike, and they bought around 67¢ before Under moved to 69¢.

$18,226 on Under

Profitable new whale on Over

A new but already highly profitable wallet with repeated large bets bought Over at 33¢ during a major pre-match volume spike, suggesting informed conviction rather than routine activity.

  • This wallet is only 24 days old but is already up $312,953 and has won all 6 resolved bets so far.
  • It has been flagged 116 times for large new-wallet trades, with more than $1.1M in similar bets already placed.
  • The buy came at 33¢ during a 97x volume surge, implying the bettor sees Over as meaningfully mispriced.

$2,709 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

New wallet with early edge

A 24-day-old wallet with early six-figure profits and a perfect 6-for-6 resolved record bought Over at 33¢, suggesting this new bettor may be worth tracking despite the modest trade size.

  • This 24-day-old wallet is up $312k and has won all 6 of its resolved bets so far.
  • It has already triggered 115 large-bet alerts for over $1.1M total, so this looks like an active bettor with real conviction.
  • Bought Over at 33¢ after the market had fallen sharply, implying they see the recent drop as an overreaction.

$1,537 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

7-wallet funded cluster

A repeat new wallet from a 7-wallet funded cluster put over $12k into this Premier League total minutes before kickoff, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than routine flow.

  • Seven wallets funded by the same address have been flagged together, pointing to coordinated conviction.
  • This new wallet has already made 6 large flagged bets totaling $33.7k, so this is not a one-off punt.
  • The market saw a 279x volume spike right before the match, with this wallet entering around 50¢ in a liquid sports market.

$12,303 on Over | Wallet win rate: 59%

Proven sharp sports bettor

A proven sports bettor with a 74% win rate and nearly $90k profit is taking a fresh cross-market position here, though the signal is based mainly on their track record rather than unusual market conditions.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 133 resolved markets and is up about $89k overall
  • They trade across many related events — 80 markets over 69 events — which suggests a repeatable sports betting edge
  • They sold Over at 49¢, which translates to buying Under near 51¢ in a market priced almost exactly 50-50

$2,022 on Under | Wallet win rate: 75%

Sharp bettor at even odds

A very active sports bettor with a 72% win rate and $6.2M in profit is buying Over at an even-money price, making this a copyable sharp action despite only one signal.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 3,331 resolved trades and is up $6.2M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,065 markets and 883 events, which points to a proven repeatable edge.
  • They bought Over at 50¢, an even-money entry that suggests they see the true odds as clearly higher.

$1,304 on Over | Wallet win rate: 73%

7-wallet funded cluster

A newly active wallet in a 7-wallet funded cluster made a $10.1k buy on Under during an extreme pre-match volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than routine flow.

  • Seven wallets funded by the same address have been active on this thesis, which is stronger than a one-off bet.
  • This new wallet has already been flagged 5 times and has put $31k into markets despite being recently created.
  • The $10.1k buy landed during a 358x volume spike, showing unusual coordinated interest before kickoff.

$10,149 on Under | Wallet win rate: 59%

74% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sports trader with a 74% win rate and broad cross-market activity is taking a fresh position on Over 3.5, making this worth watching despite only a moderate composite score.

  • This bettor has won 98 of 133 resolved trades and is up $89k overall.
  • They have traded 78 markets across 67 events, which suggests repeatable skill rather than a one-off hit.
  • They bought Over at 53¢, a modestly aggressive entry in a liquid market with near-even odds.

$2,169 on Over | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x85f0...3f67 Outcome 10477919, $48,603 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x8a6c...0b3f Outcome 10477919, $47,801 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 10477919, $8,579 (67% win rate)
  4. 0x8372...5223 Outcome 10477919, $1,977 (74% win rate)
  5. 0x5af4...183c Outcome 10477919, $1,860 (92% win rate)
  6. 0x5e30...acbf Outcome 10477919, $1,458 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x0c84...a8ed Outcome 10477919, $882 (95% win rate)
  8. 0x31d8...a9ce Outcome 10477919, $600
  9. 0x2ca6...6a20 Outcome 10477919, $575
  10. 0x3e2d...fb60 Outcome 10477919, $200

Related Theses

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Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

ResolvedBurnley FC vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets$58,964 tracked12 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming Premier League game between Burnley FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for April 22 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Burnley FC and Manchester City FC combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

20d ago

$1,420 on Under at 69¢

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

20d ago

$1,172 on Over at 33¢

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

20d ago

$18,226 on Under at 67¢

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

20d ago

$2,709 on Over at 33¢

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

20d ago

$1,537 on Over at 33¢

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

20d ago

$12,303 on Over at 50¢

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

20d ago

$2,022 on Under at 51¢

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

20d ago

$1,304 on Over at 50¢

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

20d ago

$10,149 on Under at 51¢

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

20d ago

$2,169 on Over at 53¢

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

20d ago

$4,924 on Under at 49¢

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

20d ago

$1,028 on Over at 52¢

Related Theses