Part of: Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-11?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,735.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, MLS
Notable Trades
93% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable 93% win-rate sports trader with a large multi-event track record bought No at 43¢, making this a strong copy-trade despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $485k across 121 bets.
- They trade this pattern repeatedly across 223 events and 268 markets, suggesting a real edge rather than a one-off hit.
- They bought No at 43¢, a price that implies they see San Jose losing or drawing more often than the market does.
$1,060 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp 3-wallet NO cluster
Three wallets all bought No at 43¢, including two elite bettors with 82% and 93% win rates, making this coordinated opposition worth following despite the modest size.
- Two standout bettors in this cluster win 82% and 93% of their resolved trades and are up $732k and $485k.
- All 3 wallets bought No at 43¢ within seconds of each other, showing shared conviction on the same side.
- At 43¢, they are backing San Jose not to win at a price that implies a strong edge versus the current 44¢ market.
$4,928 on No
99% win-rate bettor
A bettor with a 99% win rate and strong lifetime profits is taking a fresh $1.4k position on No in this soccer market, making it a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up about $71k lifetime.
- They've placed bets across 110 markets and 106 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hunch.
- They bought No at 44¢, a price that implies they think San Jose is being overrated.
$1,425 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 4-day-old wallet has already made 13 flagged large bets totaling $194k and just put another $5.4k into No, suggesting a high-conviction new bettor worth monitoring despite limited resolved history.
- This 4-day-old wallet has already triggered 13 large-bet alerts and put $194k to work
- This is a fresh $5.4k bet on No, not routine profit-taking
- They bought No at 42¢, a meaningful position even with this market trading over $112k today
$5,416 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winner buys No
A highly profitable 92% win-rate wallet bought No at 42¢ into a pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size on a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up about $603k across 303 resolved positions.
- They trade heavily across sports and event markets with over $1.3M invested, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought No at 42¢ during a 327x volume surge, while the market still prices Yes at 58%.
$2,115 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
79% win-rate event trader
Profitable serial sports/event trader with a strong 79% hit rate bought into a major pre-event volume surge, suggesting informed conviction rather than routine flow.
- This bettor wins 79% of their resolved trades and is up $381k lifetime.
- They trade across many related markets — 56 markets in 44 events — which suggests a repeatable edge, not a one-off bet.
- They bought Yes at 58¢ during a 327x pregame volume spike, with the market still moving higher over the last week.
$4,791 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 71304015, $84,129 (87% win rate)
- 0x38f0...2768 — Outcome 71304015, $12,895 (92% win rate)
- 0x37c1...c53a — Outcome 71304015, $7,927 (67% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 71304015, $7,828 (65% win rate)
- 0xc95b...f819 — Outcome 71304015, $6,900 (95% win rate)
- 0x48e2...2a5f — Outcome 71304015, $6,357 (92% win rate)
- 0xbb15...0f02 — Outcome 71304015, $5,651 (93% win rate)
- 0x351e...de8a — Outcome 71304015, $5,123 (91% win rate)
- 0xed8f...5aa7 — Outcome 71304015, $5,101 (87% win rate)
- 0x443b...e8bb — Outcome 71304015, $4,651 (88% win rate)
