Part of: Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $233,961.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
17-wallet Svrcina conviction cluster
A $114,000 coordinated wager on Svrcina includes several highly profitable bettors and equivalent Adam Walton sells, alongside a sharp price move.
- 17 wallets committed $114,000 to Dalibor Svrcina, with equivalent Adam Walton sells reinforcing the same direction.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including bettors winning 95%, 96%, and 89% of resolved trades.
- The market moved 62.5% toward Svrcina while volume spiked to 22 times its historical average.
$114,018 on Dalibor Svrcina
Whale scaling into Adam Walton
A high-volume tennis market saw a profitable high-volume trader add $8.5K to an existing $55K Adam Walton position at 48¢, though the trader's modest win rate limits conviction.
- This trader added $8,549 to an existing $55,208 Adam Walton position, showing increased commitment despite the position moving against them.
- The trade coincided with a 2,076x surge over the market's historical trading volume.
- The wallet has made $6.6 million across 66,410 resolved bets, but its 55% win rate is only moderate.
$7,216 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 56%
Serial bettor caught in volume spike
A highly active bettor made a sizable Adam Walton bet amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the position has since moved sharply against them and their long-term edge is limited.
- This bettor has traded 4,425 markets and invested over $40 million, providing substantial market experience.
- The market saw a 2,075x surge versus its historical trading volume, with this $1,397 bet contributing to the unusual activity.
- Adam Walton has fallen from the 59¢ entry to about 46¢, so the trade is currently underwater and should be treated cautiously.
$22,322 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 65%
Whale scaling into Adam Walton
A $53.7K addition to an existing Adam Walton position caused an extreme volume spike, making the whale's conviction notable despite a mediocre losing track record.
- This bettor committed $53,664 to Adam Walton at 82–83¢, adding to an existing $82,500 position.
- The trades drove a 789× surge versus normal volume and coincided with a sharp market move.
- The wallet has 246 resolved bets but is down $52,882 overall, so its conviction is more notable than its proven edge.
$53,664 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 69%
Serial bettor caught in volume spike
A highly active bettor made a sizable Adam Walton bet amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the position has since moved sharply against them and their long-term edge is limited.
- This bettor has traded 4,425 markets and invested over $40 million, providing substantial market experience.
- The market saw a 2,075x surge versus its historical trading volume, with this $1,397 bet contributing to the unusual activity.
- Adam Walton has fallen from the 59¢ entry to about 46¢, so the trade is currently underwater and should be treated cautiously.
$4,594 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 65%
Serial bettor caught in volume spike
A highly active bettor made a sizable Adam Walton bet amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the position has since moved sharply against them and their long-term edge is limited.
- This bettor has traded 4,425 markets and invested over $40 million, providing substantial market experience.
- The market saw a 2,075x surge versus its historical trading volume, with this $1,397 bet contributing to the unusual activity.
- Adam Walton has fallen from the 59¢ entry to about 46¢, so the trade is currently underwater and should be treated cautiously.
$2,297 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 65%
Sharp bettor leads Walton cluster
A four-wallet, $62K one-sided surge is backed by one exceptionally profitable bettor, though most participants are adding to existing positions and the entry is now underwater.
- Four wallets put $62,115 on Adam Walton, more than six times the market’s available liquidity.
- One participant wins 81% of bets and is up $5.5M across 2,244 resolved markets, buying at average odds of 68%.
- The cluster entered around 80–88¢ while Walton is now near 70¢, so the trade has already moved against them and should be approached cautiously.
$17,863 on Adam Walton
Whale scaling into Adam Walton
A high-volume tennis market saw a profitable high-volume trader add $8.5K to an existing $55K Adam Walton position at 48¢, though the trader's modest win rate limits conviction.
- This trader added $8,549 to an existing $55,208 Adam Walton position, showing increased commitment despite the position moving against them.
- The trade coincided with a 2,076x surge over the market's historical trading volume.
- The wallet has made $6.6 million across 66,410 resolved bets, but its 55% win rate is only moderate.
$8,549 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 56%
Whale adds during volume surge
A large add-on bet coincided with a 2075x pre-event volume spike and a 16-point price rise, though the wallet lacks a strong historical edge.
- The wallet added $2,042 to an existing $10,421 Dalibor Svrcina position at 43¢.
- Market volume spiked 2075x above its historical average, while Dalibor’s odds rose 16 points to 54%.
- The bettor is profitable overall, but its 54% win rate does not establish a clear edge over its typical prices.
$2,042 on Dalibor Svrcina | Wallet win rate: 54%
Serial bettor caught in volume spike
A highly active bettor made a sizable Adam Walton bet amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the position has since moved sharply against them and their long-term edge is limited.
- This bettor has traded 4,425 markets and invested over $40 million, providing substantial market experience.
- The market saw a 2,075x surge versus its historical trading volume, with this $1,397 bet contributing to the unusual activity.
- Adam Walton has fallen from the 59¢ entry to about 46¢, so the trade is currently underwater and should be treated cautiously.
$1,397 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 40246342, $26,489 (65% win rate)
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 40246342, $18,768 (99% win rate)
- 0x66b1...340f — Outcome 40246342, $16,658 (73% win rate)
- 0x8718...5040 — Outcome 40246342, $10,526 (82% win rate)
- 0x8543...ff1b — Outcome 40246342, $8,720
- 0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 40246342, $5,882 (90% win rate)
- 0xc128...2217 — Outcome 40246342, $4,812 (91% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 40246342, $2,836 (81% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 40246342, $2,301 (60% win rate)
- 0x6c54...da75 — Outcome 40246342, $1,801 (71% win rate)
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