Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

This Polymarket covers the Counter-Strike IEM Rio Playoffs semifinal best-of-3 between FURIA and Vitality, scheduled for April 18. Traders are pricing which team will win the BO3, with the market resolving to the match winner or 50-50 if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days. Smart money activity has been active on both sides, with recent alerts highlighting bettors backing Vitality as well as underdog interest on FURIA.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between FURIA and Vitality in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 18 at 2:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

17 smart money signals detected, totaling $135,320.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New whale buying longshot

A 4-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed meaningful size across markets and just sold the heavy favorite here, creating a fresh contrarian FURIA position at 17¢ during a broader pre-match volume spike.

  • This 4-day-old wallet has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts with $36k flagged total, showing unusually aggressive early activity
  • The trade is effectively a buy on FURIA at 17¢, a cheap contrarian entry against an 82¢ favorite
  • Market volume is running 13.7x above normal before the match, suggesting sharper money is actively positioning

$3,514 on FURIA

81% win-rate esports sharp

A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win rate put nearly $6k on Vitality in a major esports market during a volume spike, making this a credible follow despite the high price.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades across 927 markets and is up $204k lifetime
  • They bought nearly $6k of Vitality at 89¢, a high-conviction favorite price in a major match
  • Market volume was running 13.7x normal when they entered, showing broader momentum behind this side

$5,979 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 81%

3-wallet underdog cluster

A profitable high-volume bettor joined two other wallets buying the same underdog side, creating a coordinated $6.6k FURIA push worth watching despite the market being liquid.

  • Three wallets bought FURIA together for $6.6k, pointing to a shared underdog view.
  • This bettor has 704 resolved bets and is up $131k lifetime, so the flow comes from a proven grinder.
  • They entered around 30¢ while FURIA now trades 28-29¢, keeping the copy price close to the original entry.

$2,937 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 56%

79% winner backs FURIA

A high-volume cluster of 6 wallets is leaning FURIA, led by a serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and over $1.26M deployed historically.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved markets across 312 bets and has traded over $1.26M total
  • Six wallets all lined up on FURIA with $17.4k combined, pointing to coordinated conviction
  • This trade sold Vitality at 54¢, which is equivalent to buying FURIA around 46¢

$6,983 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 79%

94% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate and nearly $1.9M in profits just put $15.1k on Vitality during a major pre-match volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $1.88M lifetime.
  • They've traded 403 markets across 334 events, so this looks like a seasoned cross-market sports bettor rather than a one-off whale.
  • The $15.1k buy came at 73¢ during a 105x pre-match volume spike, showing conviction behind Vitality even in a busy market.

$15,097 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 94%

79% win-rate esports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 79% win rate bought Vitality into a major pre-match volume surge, making this a credible follow signal despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 312 bets and has traded over $1.2M across 180 events.
  • They bought Vitality at 73¢ during a 105x pre-match volume spike, suggesting strong conviction with broader money flowing the same way.
  • The market is deep and active, so a $12.7k buy here looks more like a serious view than a random punt.

$12,723 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 79%

99% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable wallet with a 99% win rate bought Vitality into a major pre-match volume surge, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 99% of their trades and is up about $148k across 250 resolved positions
  • They bought Vitality at 74¢ as market activity jumped 65x above normal, suggesting strong pre-match conviction
  • The trade is modest versus market liquidity, so the edge likely comes from picking the right side rather than trying to move the price

$3,828 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 99%

New whale on underdog

A 1-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed large size and just bought $22.7k of FURIA at 26¢ into a major pre-match volume spike, signaling fresh conviction on a live underdog.

  • A 1-day-old wallet has already been flagged 5 times for large bets, with about $58.9k in total flagged volume.
  • They just bought $22.7k of FURIA at 26¢, a price that implies roughly a 3.8x payout if the underdog wins.
  • This trade landed during a 111.9x jump in market activity, suggesting multiple bettors are positioning before the match.

$22,701 on FURIA

Sharp bettor on Vitality

A historically profitable sports bettor with a 77% win rate bought Vitality during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a credible follow despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up about $70.8k across 265 resolved bets
  • They bought Vitality at 75¢ during a 112x pre-match volume surge, suggesting strong market-wide conviction
  • The market is very liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a clean directional bet rather than a one-off price dislocation

$2,978 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp bettor backs longshot

A 4-wallet cluster piled into longshot FURIA around 15-16¢, led by an elite bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.88M profit, making this underdog position worth watching despite the liquid market.

  • A bettor who wins 94% of their trades and is up $1.88M led this FURIA buy cluster
  • Four wallets put $15.4k on FURIA at 15-16¢, a price that pays about 6x if the upset lands
  • Market activity jumped 47.6x versus normal right before these trades, showing sudden conviction on the underdog

$15,430 on FURIA

Top Holders

  1. 0x1a5c...a375 FURIA, $356,445 (28% win rate)
  2. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Vitality, $241,571 (54% win rate)
  3. 0xdd54...b245 Vitality, $145,837 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x47a8...52f9 FURIA, $144,313
  5. 0xa5ea...d96a FURIA, $132,695 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xc350...3669 Vitality, $100,000 (63% win rate)
  7. 0x7714...b814 Vitality, $60,002 (63% win rate)
  8. 0x67bb...b6ef Vitality, $39,999 (63% win rate)
  9. 0x21ec...5348 FURIA, $39,790 (56% win rate)
  10. 0x6304...e570 FURIA, $36,262 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

4h$135,320 tracked17 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
FURIA
12¢
Vitality
89¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between FURIA and Vitality in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 18 at 2:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Vitality
85¢
69¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

11m ago

$3,514 on FURIA at 17¢

17¢12¢5¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

28m ago

$5,979 on Vitality at 89¢

89¢89¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

49m ago

$2,937 on FURIA at 30¢

30¢12¢18¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1h ago

$6,983 on FURIA at 46¢

46¢12¢34¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1h ago

$15,097 on Vitality at 73¢

73¢89¢16¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1h ago

$12,723 on Vitality at 73¢

73¢89¢16¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1h ago

$3,828 on Vitality at 74¢

74¢89¢15¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1h ago

$22,701 on FURIA at 26¢

26¢12¢14¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1h ago

$2,978 on Vitality at 75¢

75¢89¢14¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

17m ago

$15,430 on FURIA at 15¢

15¢12¢3¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

2h ago

$1,271 on FURIA at 26¢

26¢12¢14¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

2h ago

$26,076 on Vitality at 75¢

75¢89¢14¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

2h ago

$1,439 on Vitality at 75¢

75¢89¢14¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

3h ago

$3,457 on FURIA at 26¢

26¢12¢14¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

4h ago

$4,952 on Vitality at 75¢

75¢89¢14¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

7h ago

$2,978 on Vitality at 75¢

75¢89¢14¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

7h ago

$2,978 on Vitality at 75¢

75¢89¢14¢

Related Theses