Part of: SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?
25 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,267,226.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, sea
Notable Trades
High-volume late sports trader
Experienced high-volume sports wallet bought No at 85¢ during a rapid late move to 100¢ while also trading across three related event markets.
- This bettor is up about $592k lifetime across nearly $95M traded.
- They bought No at 85¢ just before it moved to 100¢, catching a fast 17-point move.
- The same wallet had $32k spread across three related markets, suggesting a broader match thesis.
$1,148 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
94% winner buying Yes
Surface because a highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet bought Yes despite the market being liquid, with additional rapid price-impact confirmation.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $120k lifetime.
- They bought $2.5k of Yes at 38¢, a price that implies a roughly 2.6x payout if Napoli wins.
- The market saw a fast 25-point upward move around the trade, suggesting strong short-term conviction.
$2,496 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly active, profitable cross-market sports trader is backing No across this event, with $32.5k positioned over three related markets.
- This bettor has a long record across 39,561 resolved bets and is up about $585k lifetime.
- They have $32.5k positioned across 3 related markets in this event, pointing to a broader match thesis.
- Bought No at 66¢ and the market has already moved to 69¢, with Napoli’s win odds down sharply today.
$3,271 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable cross-market whale
A very high-volume, profitable bettor is taking a cross-market position across three Napoli-related markets, though this specific entry is now slightly worse than current odds.
- This bettor is up about $585K lifetime across more than 39,000 resolved trades.
- They have positioned across 3 markets in the same event with nearly $30K total, suggesting a broader match thesis.
- This trade bought No at 61¢, while the market is now around 57¢, so the original entry was better than the current price.
$1,194 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
94% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate bought $7.1k of Napoli No, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $295k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 32 events, 37 markets, and nearly $296k in profit.
- They bought $7.1k of No at 71¢ after the market moved sharply against Napoli.
$7,103 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
90% winner buying momentum
Surfaced because a highly proven serial cross-market sports trader with a 90% resolved win rate bought Napoli Yes while the market was moving sharply upward.
- This bettor has won 90% of 1,230 resolved trades and is profitable across more than $4.0M invested.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 286 events and 352 markets.
- Napoli Yes jumped 25 percentage points in 4 minutes, and this buy came into that sharp upward move.
$2,549 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable serial sports bettor
High-volume serial cross-market bettor with strong lifetime profit bought Napoli Yes during a sharp 25-point move, though the edge is diluted by huge market liquidity and only a modest win rate.
- This bettor is up about $584K lifetime across more than $95M traded.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with activity across 1,977 events and 2,915 markets.
- Napoli Yes moved up 25 points in 4 minutes, and this buy joined that fast momentum at 29¢.
$1,401 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%
Sharp wallets buying Yes
Three wallets are effectively buying Napoli Yes, including two high-win-rate sports traders and a serial cross-market bettor with strong historical performance, despite the market recently moving sharply against Yes.
- Two bettors in this cluster win 82% and 85% of resolved trades across 500+ markets each.
- All three trades point to Napoli Yes, totaling $6.4K at roughly 36–38¢.
- The market has moved down 27 points, so this looks like sharp money stepping in after a big price drop.
$6,438 on Yes
93% winner buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet with a 93% resolved win rate bought Napoli No, alongside one-sided flow from four wallets on the same outcome.
- This bettor has won 27 of 29 resolved positions and is up $736K lifetime.
- Four wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $8.9K on No.
- The trade adds to a sharp move against Napoli, with Yes down 27 points over the last day.
$2,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly active profitable cross-market sports trader joined one-sided Yes flow with 5 wallets during a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 39,509 resolved bets and $586,782 in lifetime profit.
- Five wallets bought the same Yes side for $13,324, showing coordinated one-way demand.
- Volume is 10.4x above normal, and the entry at 59¢ suggests room if the market rebounds.
$2,099 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0xa136...97de — Outcome 86896598, $5,451,775 (100% win rate)
- 0xb44e...c2c6 — Outcome 86896598, $29,021 (91% win rate)
- 0xde8e...3289 — Outcome 86896598, $24,487 (72% win rate)
- 0x1f42...a8fe — Outcome 86896598, $24,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 86896598, $22,795 (44% win rate)
- 0xfc0c...cfc9 — Outcome 86896598, $14,952 (58% win rate)
- 0x6b91...06c4 — Outcome 86896598, $6,568 (95% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 86896598, $3,670 (72% win rate)
- 0xfd66...fb6d — Outcome 86896598, $3,000 (20% win rate)
- 0x2f0b...5577 — Outcome 86896598, $2,778 (88% win rate)
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